Rainshadow Posted April 28, 2018 Report Share Posted April 28, 2018 11C + predicted 925MB temps gives both 5/3 & 5/4 a chance at reaching 90F. This will be assisted that it is not extremely wet going into this stretch and the delayed leaf-out because of what looks to be the coolest April since 1984. (Otherwise 2007). PHL itself might be thwarted by the Delaware River, but the more leafing deprived places farther northwest in our part of PA and parts of interior Delmarva and southern NJ are in the running. Congrats. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 28, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 28, 2018 A couple of texts from Tom he sent me about that 90s returning.... (courtesy of brofox & minmadness) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 28, 2018 Report Share Posted April 28, 2018 more like Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 29, 2018 21 hours ago, tombo82685 said: more like I have to get some Advil. Lucky for you 00z/29th GFS holding on to 90 potential. 21C @ 925mb on Thursday May 3rd / 23C @ 925mb on Friday May 4th. 16C @ 850mb on Thursday May 3rd / 17C @850mb on Friday May 4th. I have to recall if there was 925mb contamination last summer with this version, 850mb regardless if within 1C is widespread high 80s. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 29, 2018 Euro predicted 925s are pretty similar to the GFS's for Thu & Fri, the owner just unlocked the front door to the club. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel_kurtz Posted April 29, 2018 Report Share Posted April 29, 2018 channel 6 going with 90 for THURS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted April 29, 2018 Report Share Posted April 29, 2018 I like Tony but I hate this thread relief is on the way 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 29, 2018 4 hours ago, colonel_kurtz said: channel 6 going with 90 for THURS Sorry, we had it first. No Kirkland Ball for them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 30, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 30, 2018 We remain on/close to schedule for Thursday & Friday. Both of those days also look rather breezy at this point, probably more red flag warnings. Might not matter if we have a huge leaf out between now and then for some areas. (Predicted 925s highlighted). Add 11C to 18z temp (20/21C) usuaully pretty good for max temp projections. GFS continues to show some cloud cover (I am not enamored by their guidance on this and it might be more cirrus than anything else), maybe that saves us from hitting 90F. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 30, 2018 Report Share Posted April 30, 2018 2 hours ago, Rainshadow said: We remain on/close to schedule for Thursday & Friday. Both of those days also look rather breezy at this point, probably more red flag warnings. Might not matter if we have a huge leaf out between now and then for some areas. (Predicted 925s highlighted). Add 11C to 18z temp (20/21C) usuaully pretty good for max temp projections. GFS continues to show some cloud cover (I am not enamored by their guidance on this and it might be more cirrus than anything else), maybe that saves us from hitting 90F. The EPS mean is pretty cloudy too I would say, with them showing 60-80% coverage. Still probably will manage mid to upper 80s if thats true, hopefully not 90 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 30, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 30, 2018 6 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: The EPS mean is pretty cloudy too I would say, with them showing 60-80% coverage I don't know, the look is not one that screams mostly cloudy days. To me it is more like mid-high level debris clouds from time to time. I don't think PHL will hit 90 because of proximity to the Delaware, but would be more surprised if no legit stations top out <87F than a smattering of 90F(s) occurring here and there (Hello Reading and Berkeley Township). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 30, 2018 Report Share Posted April 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, Rainshadow said: I don't know, the look is not one that screams mostly cloudy days. To me it is more like mid-high level debris clouds from time to time. I don't think PHL will hit 90 because of proximity to the Delaware, but would be more surprised if no legit stations top out <87F than a smattering of 90F(s) occurring here and there (Hello Reading and Berkeley Township). Yea I think mid to upper 80s are a lock pretty much, hopefully no 90s. Upper 80s is bad enough. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 2, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 2, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 The GFS wraps moisture currently in Kansas & Iowa into our area tomorrow and pops some thunderstorms. I doubt the 65F dew point will verify (which is needed for thunder or else capped), but a moister air mass/more clouds may save a 90F. GFS MOS for VAY is actually higher today than tomorrow (89 vs 87) for this reason. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 2, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 PHL's record highs May 2nd.....89F in 2010 May 3rd......90F in 2001 May 4th......91F in 2001 ABE's record highs May 2nd.....90F in 2001 May 3rd......91F in 2001 May 4th......92F in 2001 ACY's record highs May 2nd.....88F in 2010 May 3rd......89F in 2001 May 4th......91F in 1965 TTN's record highs May 2nd.....88F in 2010 May 3rd......90F in 1913 May 4th......89F in 2001 ILG's record highs May 2nd.....90F in 1894 May 3rd......90F in 1913 May 4th......88F in 1965 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 no 90s! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 2, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 1 minute ago, tombo82685 said: no 90s! Lol, just saw this on Angry Ben's Angry Weather: 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel_kurtz Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 average dates for the 1st 90 degree day at Philadelphia: POR back to 1874 - May 29th Past 30 yrs. - May 24th Earliest - 4/7/1929 Latest - 7/14/1972 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 wish we could 1972 it 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel_kurtz Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 51 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: wish we could 1972 it I'll take a 1984 redux, last 90 degree day of the season was July 11th Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 40 minutes ago, colonel_kurtz said: I'll take a 1984 redux, last 90 degree day of the season was July 11th that will do too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel_kurtz Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 1 hour ago, tombo82685 said: wish we could 1972 it following winter 72/73, we really want to avoid any connection to that disaster Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanDL Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Philly hit 90 today, i don’t care what anyone says. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel_kurtz Posted May 3, 2018 Report Share Posted May 3, 2018 Georgetown 90 & Pomona 91 both set new records. Trenton 88 tied Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted May 3, 2018 Report Share Posted May 3, 2018 90 in Harrisburg, PA today. No humidity, it was great. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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