Rainshadow Posted April 26, 2018 Report Share Posted April 26, 2018 A couple of comparison maps from night run. If anyone has other links or info, please post. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 26, 2018 Report Share Posted April 26, 2018 oo yay, I can only imagine what this new version will be like. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 27, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 27, 2018 23 hours ago, tombo82685 said: oo yay, I can only imagine what this new version will be like. Conus-wide It does not look drier. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2018 210 consecutive forecast period hours with measurable rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 11, 2018 Report Share Posted May 11, 2018 1 hour ago, Rainshadow said: 210 consecutive forecast period hours with measurable rain. Lol was that the 18z run from yesterday? That one was over 200hrs too. I was gonna ask if you like that forecast? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2018 52 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Lol was that the 18z run from yesterday? That one was over 200hrs too. I was gonna ask if you like that forecast? That was the 06z run. It wont be the last one either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2018 1 hour ago, tombo82685 said: Lol was that the 18z run from yesterday? That one was over 200hrs too. I was gonna ask if you like that forecast? 12z run down to only 162 hours.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 12, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 12, 2018 On 4/26/2018 at 9:57 AM, tombo82685 said: oo yay, I can only imagine what this new version will be like. Snow on Memorial Day weekend after a double landfalling hurricane. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 13, 2018 Report Share Posted May 13, 2018 Worth noting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 14, 2018 15 hours ago, tombo82685 said: Worth noting Yeah the big upgrade is scheduled for 2020. They are ditching the spectral model core for the FV3 core with this one. By the way implementation date tentatively 12/11/18 just in time for winter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 17, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 17, 2018 We won't be missing gems like this. I get the track accuracy superceding intensity fcsts, but one would think without perturbing the sea surface (and upwelling), one still couldn't get a tropical system this intense in May even in la la land forecast times. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 17, 2018 Report Share Posted May 17, 2018 35 minutes ago, Rainshadow said: We won't be missing gems like this. I get the track accuracy superceding intensity fcsts, but one would think without perturbing the sea surface (and upwelling), one still couldn't get a tropical system this intense in May even in la la land forecast times. Looks like a PRE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 17, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 17, 2018 2 hours ago, tombo82685 said: Looks like a PRE Well only 6 more months to go.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 31, 2018 Report Share Posted May 31, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 22, 2018 Author Report Share Posted June 22, 2018 Enjoy: 94 Actual High Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted July 1, 2018 This is more inaccurate than the current version of the GFS for today (7/1): 95 Actual High Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 13, 2018 Author Report Share Posted July 13, 2018 The new GFS is going to win this 2pm contest today, it didn't turn my head during the heat wave (see above), but today's temp forecast by the GFS is yet another It must really stink to live in the higher terrain of northwest Dutchess County New York. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 13, 2018 Author Report Share Posted July 13, 2018 10 hours ago, Rainshadow said: The new GFS is going to win this 2pm contest today, it didn't turn my head during the heat wave (see above), but today's temp forecast by the GFS is yet another It must really stink to live in the higher terrain of northwest Dutchess County New York. 85F at 2 pm with a NE wind at 6 knots, 88F for a high. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted August 3, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 3, 2018 I guess one can say the next version of the GFS will be an "improvement". Nothing like 20C + 850mb 15z temp for a max temp to break more laws of thermodynamics not to mention oh it raining 30 of the previous 36 hours will leave antecedent soil conditions, um very very dry. Wind, what wind? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted September 15, 2018 Author Report Share Posted September 15, 2018 Oh joy for summer, it will never not be raining.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted September 15, 2018 Author Report Share Posted September 15, 2018 Was reading some evaluation notes this morning and is sometimes even (too much) more progressive than current GFS, but is scoring better with tropical systems. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted September 16, 2018 Author Report Share Posted September 16, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted September 21, 2018 Author Report Share Posted September 21, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted September 23, 2018 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2018 I am so tired of the current GFS constantly forecasting measurable pcpn (63 straight hours on the 00z/23rd, just to best the 57 straight hours on the 22nd/18th), I will take the occasional more extreme solutions of the next version. Beside, it will make for a more "interesting" 100 degree thread next summer. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted September 23, 2018 Report Share Posted September 23, 2018 3 minutes ago, Rainshadow said: I am so tired of the current GFS constantly forecasting measurable pcpn (63 straight hours on the 00z/23rd, just to best the 57 straight hours on the 22nd/18th), I will take the occasional more extreme solutions of the next version. Beside, it will make for a more "interesting" 100 degree thread next summer. I have .04" so far this morning. That make you feel better? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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