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FV3 Future GFS Implementation Starts With 12z Run On June 12th.


Bananashadow
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  • 2 weeks later...

We won't be missing gems like this.  I get the track accuracy superceding intensity fcsts, but one would think without perturbing the sea surface (and upwelling), one still couldn't get a tropical system this intense in May even in la la land forecast times.

fv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_54.png.b73b932814a9996f43cfa33e2ab38ab7.png

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35 minutes ago, Rainshadow said:

We won't be missing gems like this.  I get the track accuracy superceding intensity fcsts, but one would think without perturbing the sea surface (and upwelling), one still couldn't get a tropical system this intense in May even in la la land forecast times.

fv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_54.png.b73b932814a9996f43cfa33e2ab38ab7.png

Looks like a PRE 

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10 hours ago, Rainshadow said:

The new GFS is going to win this 2pm contest today, it didn't turn my head during the heat wave (see above), but today's temp forecast by the GFS is yet another :facepalm:

It must really stink to live in the higher terrain of northwest Dutchess County New York.

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fv3p_T2m_neus_4.png

85F at 2 pm with a NE wind at 6 knots, 88F for a high.

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  • 3 weeks later...

I guess one can say the next version of the GFS will be an "improvement".   Nothing like 20C + 850mb 15z temp for a max temp to break more laws of thermodynamics not to mention oh it raining 30 of the previous 36 hours will leave antecedent soil conditions, um very very dry.  Wind, what wind?

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  • 1 month later...

I am so tired of the current GFS constantly forecasting measurable pcpn (63 straight hours on the 00z/23rd, just to best the 57 straight hours on the 22nd/18th), I will take the occasional more extreme solutions of the next version.  Beside, it will make for a more "interesting" 100 degree thread next summer.

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3 minutes ago, Rainshadow said:

I am so tired of the current GFS constantly forecasting measurable pcpn (63 straight hours on the 00z/23rd, just to best the 57 straight hours on the 22nd/18th), I will take the occasional more extreme solutions of the next version.  Beside, it will make for a more "interesting" 100 degree thread next summer.

I have .04" so far this morning. That make you feel better? ;)

 

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