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Meteorological Spring Pattern Discussion. Majune Follows Frapril?


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3 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

It's been a while since we have had this robust of a -nao signal this time of year, so not to familiar with how temps would go. Looking at that map at face value It doesn't get me to excited when I see a straight zonal flow. 

Like I mentioned last night, it looks like the pattern where when it's precipitating it can have a some solid - departures and offer wintry appeal. Outside of that during sunny days it looks close to normal

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42 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

Like I mentioned last night, it looks like the pattern where when it's precipitating it can have a some solid - departures and offer wintry appeal. Outside of that during sunny days it looks close to normal

It's too bad the negative departures didn't start showing up sooner and going away sooner. Come the first week of March, batting practice will be hell on the hands during very chilly weather.

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7 hours ago, tombo82685 said:

Like I mentioned last night, it looks like the pattern where when it's precipitating it can have a some solid - departures and offer wintry appeal. Outside of that during sunny days it looks close to normal

In March it can easily snow the day after the high reaches 50F; that temp is not the death knell it would be in either Dec or Jan.

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I dunno, the blocky period showing up late in feb into march looks rather meh to me. Yea it's very blocky in Canada but the flow for cold air is garbage. Almost looks like the block hooks up with the se ridge to a degree. Obviously the WEKS, well go WEFS with it and the cold air. GEPS and eps are very close together on rather MEH look 

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26 minutes ago, Feb said:

Unless Tom ( isotherm ) can paint a brighter picture, this looks like ......

IMG_0607.JPG

I’m taking below normal regime. You can still get a winter storm. Like Tony said, in March it’s common to go from 50 one day to snow the next. Plus, this is still outside 10 days, not really in lock down territory per say. 

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52 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

I’m taking below normal regime. You can still get a winter storm. Like Tony said, in March it’s common to go from 50 one day to snow the next. Plus, this is still outside 10 days, not really in lock down territory per say. 

Oh got ya. With the blocking anything is possible. Even I would take a cut off type march 1958 type deal 

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31 minutes ago, Feb said:

Oh got ya. With the blocking anything is possible. Even I would take a cut off type march 1958 type deal 

Exactly, the block is still there so something can easily sneak under it. Would prefer the WEFS as it would give a better chance over the eps

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4 hours ago, tombo82685 said:

Yea but that’s also going off the wefs which I’m not sure is right. We will see

I am not sure it is right either. At minimum, looks like there will be a better chance of a slow moving storm due to the blocked Atlantic flow.

ecmwf_eps_nao_2018021512.png

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