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Meteorological Winter Pattern Discussion, Hello Nina


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We are out in weenie-ville, but umm got NINO? That is not at all a nina look, very nino esque with Aleutian low/ ridge on west coast, split jet. You have your polar jet to the north and southern jet to the south. Not over powering cold nor is it warm either. Certainly would be stormier. 

eps_z500_anom_noram_360.png

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19 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

We are out in weenie-ville, but umm got NINO? That is not at all a nina look, very nino esque with Aleutian low/ ridge on west coast, split jet. You have your polar jet to the north and southern jet to the south. Not over powering cold nor is it warm either. Certainly would be stormier. 

eps_z500_anom_noram_360.png

Yeah southeast ridge on the side of a milk carton.

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1 hour ago, tombo82685 said:

We are out in weenie-ville, but umm got NINO? That is not at all a nina look, very nino esque with Aleutian low/ ridge on west coast, split jet. You have your polar jet to the north and southern jet to the south. Not over powering cold nor is it warm either. Certainly would be stormier. 

eps_z500_anom_noram_360.png

Ehhh,.. I don't think that's as promising as it looks. Retreating PV into Siberia and PAC jet on roids blasting into mainland Canada. Call me skeptic I guess. 

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21 minutes ago, irishbri74 said:

Ehhh,.. I don't think that's as promising as it looks. Retreating PV into Siberia and PAC jet on roids blasting into mainland Canada. Call me skeptic I guess. 

Agreed it's not a great look was just showing that we are going opposite of what we should be looking at right now. It's not a cold pattern nor warm but stormier.  Stratosphere wise though, it's a better pattern. Aleutian low+Siberian high helps with pv disruption.

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Not a ton of change in EPS run today. Very nino look with split flow, ridging into AK, trough in southwest. Se ridge comes alive but is also met with a PV close to Hudson Bay area. So you get a very compressed flow right over or just to our north.  Could get lucky if we can minimize the se ridge look, because I think it will be pretty stormy in that timeframe with energy spitting out of the Southwest. I'd rather be in Detroit area to Burlington though. 

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2 minutes ago, Rainshadow said:

1.2 always has alot of volatility.  The natural progression with ninas (or ninos) is for the first sign of decay is in this region.  Not saying this is the case now, just speaking in generalities.

Makes sense then why feb is usually warmest month?

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