tombo82685 Posted May 24, 2017 Report Share Posted May 24, 2017 Post your obs here. Wouldn't be shocked to see some storm in the afternoon over the area and esp south of m/d line. Rainfall looks to be between .5-1" with higher amounts in storms. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 54F @ 6AM, .18" of rain and windy to boot. Craptastic day ahead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 Thru 7 am 0.38". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 0.25" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 rain - 0.48" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 25, 2017 Author Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 hrrr and some of meso models showing a pretty robust area of rain and embedded storms later on this afternoon and eve Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 .23" about to hit the road, driving along I80 west to western PA. should be a fun wet drive, ugh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 14 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: hrrr and some of meso models showing a pretty robust area of rain and embedded storms later on this afternoon and eve Could get interesting this afternoon with good dynamics and warm front in area. SPC has marginal probs from about Trenton south - below is the write-up ...Middle Atlantic... Strong 12hr mid-level height falls will spread across the Middle Atlantic region early in the period as a negative-tilt trough translates east of the Appalachians. Latest short-range model guidance suggests 500mb speed max will round the base of the trough over southern GA at 12z then eject off the Carolina coast during the afternoon. Exit region of this feature should aid convection across the Middle Atlantic and isolated strong storms may evolve within a corridor of focused ascent. NAM guidance suggests much of this region will see appreciable boundary-layer warming - more than adequate for surface-based parcels to reach their convective temperatures. Latest thinking is thunderstorms should concentrate across the northern Middle Atlantic where low-level convergence will be stronger in the presence of a pronounced east-west surface front draped across the Delmarva into southern PA. Forecast buoyancy is not that great across this region but shear profiles seem adequate for at least low severe probs, including hail, wind, and perhaps a brief tornado. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 Need for temps to get north of 70, otherwise looks like cape will be lacking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 GOES-16: showery soup north of warm front currently in extreme S md. clearing out south of front. Forced convection in W Va. Agree that widespread severe is unlikely due to limited instability - as usual heavy rain and thunder are our most likely threats. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 32 minutes ago, Chubbs said: GOES-16: showery soup north of warm front currently in extreme S md. clearing out south of front. Forced convection in W Va. Agree that widespread severe is unlikely due to limited instability - as usual heavy rain and thunder are our most likely threats. I was told by Patrick that the one minute imagery on GOES 16 is really cool when watching the cu pop. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 16 minutes ago, Rainshadow said: I was told by Patrick that the one minute imagery on GOES 16 is really cool when watching the cu pop. I bet. The 5-min is fun to watch when the cap breaks, even for our meager events to-date. Handy today with soup, front, convection all nearby. I see Patuxent has a 70dp Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jec6 Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 We've had some pretty heavy rain here in KoP for the last 1/2 hr or so. I keep getting distracted from work looking out my window every time I hear the 'roar' of a rain band sweep across the parking lot behind me. I'm sure the fact that I need to go out to my car and get something makes it seem much more heavy than it is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 Quickly up to 1.00" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 25, 2017 Author Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 .8 at work, .6 gilly Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 0.75" - 55F Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 29 minutes ago, Chubbs said: I see Patuxent has a 70dp Patuxent fell back to 64dp at 10 - mixing? error? Salisbury is 71/69 Georgetown 69/67 25 09:52 SW 16 10.00 Mostly Cloudy FEW010 SCT095 BKN250 69 64 84% NA NA 29.49 998.6 25 08:52 S 9 10.00 Mostly Cloudy SCT010 BKN095 BKN250 70 70 100% NA NA 29.46 997.6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 .84" out of the down pours. The water works have shut off except for a misty drizzle right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 1.02" a needed break now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 0.56", what's wrong with this picture? Just stepped outside, its feeling raw. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 up to 62 - sky trying to brighten. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 Healthy drizzle and 61 degrees. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 HRRR trying to pinpoint a band of 1-2 inches of rain this evening, wobbling between KVAY and KPTW the last few runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 16 minutes ago, Mitchg said: HRRR trying to pinpoint a band of 1-2 inches of rain this evening, wobbling between KVAY and KPTW the last few runs. RGEM in the same boat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted May 25, 2017 Report Share Posted May 25, 2017 Starting to see some sunshine - 66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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