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MBY Snowfall Totals

Found 10 results

  1. And so it begins, moderate rain and thunder down here in Middletown.
  2. Skies are cloudy all morning in Mount Laurel.
  3. It is really more about tomorrow than today, but probably easier to look back instead of parsing thru two different observational threads.
  4. Just got an email from my weather station of greater than 1"/hr rates. Gauge is in Fox Chase. I'm at work near NE airport and not a drop.
  5. Whether it gets named or not, there is decent model agreement about heavy rain at the least working its way into Delaware and New Jersey. Slow moving closed circulations in July don't make for good outcomes.
  6. In regards to next weeks system, looking over the eps members that do bring some snow into the area, there is one common theme. While they all have unfavorable primary, they all do agree that to get snow you have to develop the coastal low further south into se va, then blow it up as it hits nj. The earlier coastal formation and strong low would then produce just enough cold air for snow. So you need to rely on, earlier coastal development, sub 982 system off nj, then some dynamic cooling as it pulls colder air into the system.
  7. Welp, the rain has started here already. Post your obs.
  8. The GFS is really wound up and vigorous with this system at this point. Below is the UKMET QPF forecast for the heaviest 24hr segment:
  9. Well if amounts come close and dont become too much of a good thing, our area in PA & NJ can use an event like this. The 00z op of the GFS was on the warm side of the members (hence my 70F for a high), but its toasty nonetheless with predicted dew points pushing 60 (Tom loving those dews ) . Its not unheard of to get thunder in situations like this with us in the predicted warm sector and I used to talk about the annual squall line thunderstorm passage every November. I do recall one December 1st in which we issued double digit warnings. The Euro looks much wetter (maybe twice as much i
  10. Line is starting to forum out wes, sun is filtering through broken cloud deck. CAPE values in the 1500-2500 range, LI -3 to -5 support thunderstorm development. Bulk shear is decent, but the best shear remains to the north. Should see a broken line or some storms start to pop in this airmass. PWATS in the 1.7-2 support heavy rainfall with any storm. Primary issue with this is wind and heavy rainfall. Hail shouldn't be a big issue nor tornadoes. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1484 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1154 AM CDT SAT AUG 06 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS
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