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Rainshadow5.8

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Rainshadow5.8 last won the day on October 18

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  • Gender
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  • Location:
    Mount Laurel, NJ
  • Interests
    Golf and gardening and temperatures between 32F & 70F.

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  1. Tee shot on 3 at Cape May National. If only if it was for the seasonal snowfall...
  2. 00z/16th Ensemble Comparison 10/16-10/31. Normal 850mb temp around +6C. GEFS: Below normal 850mb temp anomalies thru October 18th. Above normal 850mb temp anomalies October 19th into the 24th (four days longer), then below normal anomalies Oct 25th thru the end of its run on the 31st. GEPS: Below normal 850mb temp anomalies thru October 18th. Above normal 850mb temp anomalies October 19th into October 30th and then below normal 850mb temp anomalies on October 31st. EPS: Below normal 850mb temp anomalies thru October 18th. Above normal 850mb temp anomalies October 19th
  3. It is still there on the GFS. The sun rose in the East too this morning. The GFS really did a choke job on this week when it was beyond day 7.
  4. Tom will be glad the figs are alright here.
  5. 1.45" was the Mount Laurel total. Just like winter Monmouth & Ocean, the winners.
  6. That is almost like a super strong la nina given the waters surrounding it. I tried to find a match and couldn't find many that even came close. 1984 I caution we were feeling the effects of El Chicon. Anyway September "index" PDO came in as -0.7 on one site and -1.01 on NOAA site. 1973 would be the closest, then 2007 and 1998.
  7. There is a 1' by 1' patch that looks like that here.
  8. 00z/12th Ensemble Comparison 10/12-10/27. Normal 850mb temp around +7C. GEFS: Above normal 850mb temp anomalies into October 16th (delayed and no cool shot before any longer). I certainly did not see this one coming, the never-ending below normal anomalies now have a break in it. Below normal 850mb anomalies Oct 16th into the 18th, near/above normal anomalies Oct 19th & 20th, then below normal 850mb temp anomalies thru the end of its run on October 27th. GEPS: Above normal 850mb temp anomalies through October 16th (same). Below normal anomalies Oct 17th into morning of 19
  9. I can’t post today, but for the last month the GFS has had a cold bias during the past month at every forecast period at850mb thru day 10 in the PNA region. Yes it has a stronger cold bias than any other global model the past month. If I can find some summer archive info, I will post tomorrow.
  10. We are now down to three hours of sub 540 thicknesses this weekend/early next week. The GFS says, fear not!
  11. If the average temperature is 58.3F or 58.4F there is no magic door that opens/closes, we will see how close we end up to the median. Then I can move the goal posts again next October.
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