Jump to content

Rainshadow101

Moderator
  • Content Count

    28,588
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    262

Everything posted by Rainshadow101

  1. 00z/23rd Ensemble Comparison 7/23-8/7. Normal 850mb temp around +15C. One Is Not Like The Others... Without wishcasting this, the teleconnection skill beyond week 1 is the poorest I have snapshot seen all year. This period is a conflict between a predicted Rockies heat ridge and misplaced PV into Canada (Hudson Bay no less for a while). So toward the end of next week the ensembles have all different solutions as to who will win. @Chubbs posted the eastward ridging bias and while I don't verify it, I will go with consistency with it. So naturally I am tossing the more
  2. Verification in parentheses GFS 6/17/12z.......101F (95F) on 6/29 6/18/06z......100F (86F) on 7/1 & 100F (79F) on 7/2 6/25/06z.....101F (89F) on 7/9 7/1/12z........100F (94F) on 7/16 7/4/06z......100F (80F) on 7/18 7/14/06z....100F on 7/26 Honorable Mentions 6/23/18z......99F (96F) on 7/7 6/25/06z.....99F (95F) on 6/29 6/25/12z......99F (97F) on 6/30 6/27/18z......99F (88F) on 7/11 & 99F (93F) on 7/12 7/8/18z........99F on 7/23 ECMWF: 7/20/12z......101F on 7/29
  3. Fig harvesting has been going on for about a week already.
  4. Another new summer norm, smoke from western wildfires.
  5. Still looking better at the end of this week. Those upper 80s next week could turn into 90s.
  6. 1.69" here in Mount Laurel. That storm cranked northeast of us.
  7. There may be some reporting issues with this mapo. Not sure if it is complete.
  8. The crow gets to live another day. This is the past two weeks. I could post the past year, same bias.
  9. Yes it has been steadier. Even the GEFs has non 90F highs 7/22-7/26 & it never does that in July.
  10. Maybe (hopefully) what we are seeing in error with the 00z OP Euros.
  11. 00z/15th Ensemble Comparison 7/15-7/30. Normal 850mb temp around +15C. Confidence Growing About A Cooler & (More Important) Drier Shot Next Week! I flipped the world according to Tony to the start I know it has been a while, but finally something looks promising beyond non GEFS ensembles la la land. Tom has mentioned this, predicted heat ridge has gone from west coast to the Rockies. This has shunted the Bermuda High offshore and brought the long wave trof into the Eastern Seaboard. This should be good enough to give us a period of near normal highs, but more importa
  12. Verification in parentheses GFS 6/17/12z.......101F (95F) on 6/29 6/18/06z......100F (86F) on 7/1 & 100F (79F) on 7/2 6/25/06z.....101F (89F) on 7/9 7/1/12z........100F on 7/16 7/4/06z......100F on 7/18 7/14/06z....100F on 7/26 Honorable Mentions 6/23/18z......99F (96F) on 7/7 6/25/06z.....99F (95F) on 6/29 6/25/12z......99F (97F) on 6/30 6/27/18z......99F (88F) on 7/11 & 99F (93F) on 7/12 7/8/18z........99F on 7/23 ECMWF:
  13. I don't know why the picture came in upside down. Now you have a reason to go to Australia to see it right side up.
  14. 4.93" in Riverton (Burlington County). 0.22" in Mount Laurel.
  15. @tombo82685, David’s favorite model.
×
×
  • Create New...