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tombo82685

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Everything posted by tombo82685

  1. week 1 -ao/-nao/+epo/+pna below normal hgts week 2 neutral nao/+ao/+pna/+epo below normal hgts week 3 neutral epo/+ao/+nao/-pna abv normal hgts, se ridge week 4 -epo/+ao/+nao/-pna abv normal hgts week 5 neutral pna/-epo/+nao/+ao abv normal hgts week 6 -epo/+ao/+nao/-pna abv normal hgts temps week 1 -3 week 2 -2 week 3 +2 week 4 0 week 5 -2 week 6 -2
  2. Basically the pattern we have been in. Problem with that is, a lot of nw flow. Nothing can really amplify in that look. Clipper type pattern
  3. 23 currently with some snizzle. Looks like added another tenth or so of snow since measurement around 9pm last night
  4. yes that can help, but I'm not sure the mjo strength is going to help. It kind of looks like it craps out as it pushes towards the dateline and I think you need a more coherent wave. The other key factor would be stratosphere. Both the euro and gfs have a good wave 2 hit around Dec 4th which teleconnects well to the cold shot in that timeframe and possible winter storm chance IMO. I'ts what I mentioned to Tony last week with how ens were going colder despite forecasted teleconnections. Also have to watch the pacific jet retraction. If you get any sort of wavebreak in proper spot it can help i
  5. the ridging out west basically helps against pac flow and mild temps. Even though we have a +pna you aren't getting true nw Canada airmass typical of +pna. It's just garbage recycled pac maritime cold due to that AK low. Need to get that out of there IMO to get a good period of cold.
  6. Working on it lol. Might need @cbelke help again to stream it live
  7. Nice fatties falling right now. 29 here. Had .3 in the morning and atleast 5 so far since 4pm
  8. was at 14 at mignight last night before clouds came in or we would of been in single digits last night. Anyways, 24 right now with some light snow falling.
  9. I dunno, the OLR maps still look to be stuck in maritimes out 15 days. Even on your map, while we do get a pulse towards dateline, you can see all the sinking air along dateline. Base state is showing itself well around 90e which is vomit phases
  10. @cbelke are you familiar with connecting davis station to wunderground? I'm not sure what I'm doing wrong. I went into weatherlink, then into wunderground settings under file. Put my station ID in and the password. Hit test and it says success. Yet, not observations showing up
  11. week 1 +epo/neutral nao/+ao/+pna. Below normal hgts week 2 +epo/+nao/+ao/neutral pna. normal hgts week 3 neutral epo/-pna/+ao/+nao. abv normal hgts week 4 -epo/weak +ao/+nao/neutral pna. normal hgts week 5 +nao/weak -epo/neutral ao and pna/+nao. normal hgts week 6 +ao/+nao/weak -epo/neutral pna. abv normal hgts temps week 1 -4 week 2 -2 week 3 0 week 4 -2 week 5 -2 week 6 -2
  12. euro 11/25 12z: .09 snow .7 11/26 0z: .02 snow .2 11/26 12z: .08 snow .5 11/27 0z: .04 snow .3 11/27 12z: .03 snow .3 11/28 0z: .02 snow .1 eps 11/25 12z: .05 snow .4 11/26 0z: .07 snow .3 11/26 12z: .09 snow .6 11/27 0z: .03 snow .3 11/27 12z: .02 snow .2 11/28 0z: .03 snow .2
  13. Euro and unmet were trying to get that southern stream system invoked that was scooting east in the south.
  14. week 1 +epo/-ao/-nao/+pna. Below normal hgts week 2 +epo/ neutral pna/+ao/neutral nao. Below normal htgts week 3 -pna/weak -epo/neutral ao/+nao. neutral hgts, with below normal hgts north of tpk week 4 -pna/neutral epo/-ao/+nao. abv normal hgts week 5 neutral nao/weak -epo/-ao/neutral pna/. abv normal hgts week 6 weak -epo/weak -pna/neutral ao/+nao. normal hgts temps week 1 -6 week 2 -3 week 3 -2 week 4 0 week 5 0 week 6 -2
  15. EPS generally .5-1" from 295 on nw. Still not to enthused on something big. There is a weak signal for sne with coastal but op run was a major outlier amongst eps for sne
  16. I could be dead in my grave and I would still head slap you
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