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New family member welcomed to the household!! Everyone, meet Ellie!! I wanted to name her blizzard, but wife wasn’t having any of it!! 😂 hoping to give @Qtown Snow a run for his money with snowy dog pics!!!

Our new kitty is getting along pretty well with our golden

Heavy snow and windy in Colebrook with visibility about 200'. 25 degrees. About 3 inches new snow. Maybe 8" before snow winds down this afternoon.

The National Weather Service is doing a commemorative look back at the Blizzard. I worked the five midnight shifts (always my joy shift) leading up to it and went in the day after when everyone at the office was stranded. So here is my perspective I sent in to Valerie along with the two afds (back then sfds) I wrote when I was on the public desk back then.

Rooting for you N&W burbs!

1/1/21 - 1.08" gauge - 1.23" Tempest, In the the last 3 big storms Tempest has been over, under, over. Getting better since first storm. I'll take plus or minus 10% - have gauge for accuracy - have Tempest for quick check during storm without getting soaked, storm minute-by-minute detail, graphing, etc.

i hate these dumb bowling ball cut off lows. you limit the potential to such a small area

She’s a mini golden doodle. Mom was a golden retriever, dad was a poodle. She’ll end up around 30-40lbs, about 24” tall , give of take.

Should have went with something more practical like "Euro nailed Sandy" or "Wedges" or the Classic "Day 10+ looks good". She might have went for one of those 😄

🤣🤣🤣 I wish I would've taped our family doctor's WebMD rant when I attempted an online self diagnose back in 2015, it was classic. Needless to say I never went that route again.

52 degrees and sunny at Cape Henlopen State Park

Our neighbor has a pet deer. Clarice is back for 2021.

Congrats you LHV PEEPS?!

Also, remember this really isn't the start of the good period IMO. This threat just popped up a few days ago. Thoughts all along was after jan 10th, so if this does hit its icing on the cake

Yes.

I glad your wife has some sense. Ellie was a good choice. Happy New Year dude.

I think the biggest point to be taken from today is we have chances next 10 days. Next Friday-saturday then a few days after. Models will continue to flip around on key features that will determine how good the airmass is and whether the storm comes up or not

got my 1st rain check for the New Year's Eve event, adjusted from 0.30" to 0.23" my CoCo gauge checked in with 0.21" I guess rain check is something they do unprompted as I hadn't registered the CoCo gauge & reported for that event.

I just sent them my first QC of my rainfall differences which was pretty large. 1.29" Tempest vs. 0.88" gauge.

Last 4 gefs. The ensembles have been steadily ramping up the storm threat. Op runs are best used as ensemble members until they start dialing in better.

you may miss the snowstorms 😂

If you enjoy roller coasters, this is the pattern for you. Meanwhile you can find me on the merry-go-round until anything comes within 84 hours.

Are these snowfall maps becoming the WebMD of weather? Pivotal was not any better with the UKMET yesterday (2-4" snow over the Poconos). You know, the bottom of your foot hurts and you go on the WebMD site. After you research the cause, you are updating your last will and testament even though you are only 23 years old. Farther north and west yes legit chance for snow coincides well with places that had freezing rain yesterday. Some elevation to this too as the antecedent air mass is going to be relatively warm.

Gonna start a new thread in the short term for tomorrow’s system: please post all future posts over there.

yawn

.94" in Pennsville - Tempest did well.

@Qtown Snow looking good up your way

Yeah it’s still a bit early. 8th starting to have a messy look to it, but we’re still in the range where large scale changes can happen. Hell, last nights euro was a really different look on that storm evolution. It wouldn’t have taken much of a change to have that phase on the euro benefit 95. For example, look at the storm potentially hitting east Maine monday or whatever...That capture wasnt modeled until recently. For some reason this year shortwaves are having a tendency to slow down. If we get a scenario like the gfs but suddenly models pick up a northern disturbance diving down could ch

Good comment, quite mild currently in North America and will take a while to get a better air mass. As last nights modeling shows, there are multiple ways that the Jan 8 threat could fail.

Euro and gfs ens kind of have a single in that time frame. Could sneak a quick transient pna Manitoba mauler

Good analysis. A good news/bad news situation. Getting cooler air in Canada which could help down the road but weakening the blocking. Guess we were getting ahead of ourselves a little bit. Quite mild in North America currently; so, won't become a winter wonderland overnight. D9 EPS trends below:

You can see the wholesale AO change here but through d10 the PAC does not yet alter. Up top it pulls a 180, you'd think eventually something has to give with the Pac jet extension.

Slight step backwards overnight with hints of more troughing over western NAO domain. -NAO more east based or neutral, especially pronounced on op euro/gfs where run-to-run flip flopping most evident. Ensemble mean looks OK but if you look closely you'll see height lines dip from the n pole to the south, not letting NAO west based block develop. Look at the op runs to really see it jump off the page. Blip or beginning of trend who knows. Eps d8 trend Euro op to really emphasize troughing sneaking down from the pole Pac imo taking longer to improve, energy still c

What a look...

yeah that one wouldn't go over well for the western members of the forum I believe that was forecast to be a big hit from DC up the corridor the day before the event then big changes during the immediate runup. Typical late developing miller B.

gfs is much slower with the process. Would be more mid to late January if it were to be felt.

Yea jet retracted. This is from dec 25 18z run to now this for same period

That is an issue with a lot of these stations. I have mine up on my roof because I was looking for better wind readings (and my house is pretty unobstructed). I know the temps are definitely off a bit, especially during the summer. I have two other wireless thermometers closer to the ground though. Surprisingly the temps are close most of the time.

@Allsnow looks like we got burned on that pact jet extension. This is a pretty big fail (and a positive one at that!). always a good sign to see positive developments for snow lovers continue to move up in the timeline ! .

Personal preference. Many different ways to go about it. Height will give you better wind readings. Something closer to ground 5-10’ will give more accurate surface temps. Obviously. Personally I’d rather have true temp. accuracy over winds which always seem to be under measured. https://help.weatherflow.com/hc/en-us/articles/360059011334-Tempest-Installation-Gallery

They give recommendations with their online help instructions.

PHL finished DEC with an average temp of 38.7(+1.2) degrees, exactly the same as DEC 2019. The past 5 DEC's are a solidly above average 38.5(+1.0) degrees however that's down significantly from the 5 year 2011-2015 DEC furnace - 43.5(+6.0) degrees. Philadelphia has not had a month average freezing or below since FEB 2015. The #'s for the rolling 30yr climate normal are now complete. Based on pure averages the 1991-2020 normal & trends are listed below:

From snowwors2 post upthread - Regarding the "nearby reliable rain sensors", are any of these reporting data online, such as on Weather Underground? If so, please let us know the WU ID and we can look at the data to use as a reference. Alternatively, we invite you to share the local day accumulation (from midnight to midnight) at your convenience... Please "register" your co-located gauge using this form: https://forms.gle/VZGKtFKwBQ7K8jaJ9 Once registered, report individual rain events (ideally over a 24-hour period, from 12AM to 12AM) using this form: https://forms.gle/o