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  2. 00z/16th Ensemble Comparison 10/16-10/31. Normal 850mb temp around +6C. GEFS: Below normal 850mb temp anomalies thru October 18th. Above normal 850mb temp anomalies October 19th into the 24th (four days longer), then below normal anomalies Oct 25th thru the end of its run on the 31st. GEPS: Below normal 850mb temp anomalies thru October 18th. Above normal 850mb temp anomalies October 19th into October 30th and then below normal 850mb temp anomalies on October 31st. EPS: Below normal 850mb temp anomalies thru October 18th. Above normal 850mb temp anomalies October 19th
  3. Here are the Philly averages over different timeframes including the recent trends since 2010 & the current status of the pending 1991-2020 climate normal. These figures are pure averages & don't take into account any potential smoothing or adjustments from the Climate Center. The only below average month since 2010 has been NOV, likewise that's the only month that wouldn't see an average increase for the pending 30 year normal. With that being said there's still next month to go so a torch month could change that scenario. Regarding MAR while 6 of the past 11 years have be
  4. I estimated badly looking at the camera the other day. We actually had 10" of snow here near Colebrook, NH. Mostly all gone except in the woods. It's been in the mid 50's in the day and mid 40's at night with a snoweater wind.
  5. Thank you!! Moon phase is perfect but worried about clouds that night. We shall see.
  6. My wife picked this up for me the other day. The reviews look fantastic. It's an Irish Whiskey that is aged in both bourbon barrels and cognac. Can't wait to try it.
  7. Been doing the Jack and Cider mix the past few weekends. Can only handle so much of that (sweetness). But enjoyable nonetheless.
  8. It's the smart bet to make. Probably will only use 1 or 2 months a year.
  9. Totally agree. I went to Wegmans in mid-August to try to pick up the one Summer beer that I like for my vacation, and all the Fall beers were out. I was lucky to find 1 six pack of a similar Summer beer, but it was so annoying.
  10. I hate that buying beer has become like buying clothes, always a season ahead. Who the heck wants to think about Christmas beers already?!? And then while still in the mood for fall beers, or you hear about something interesting you want to try, you can’t even find it anymore!
  11. Every month it seems is going to be above normal especially if you go by 1981-2010 averages!
  12. It is still there on the GFS. The sun rose in the East too this morning. The GFS really did a choke job on this week when it was beyond day 7.
  13. Yeah, no complaints about the upcoming week - just about perfect for any outdoor activity
  14. No wonder why October has become one of my favorite months of the year. Hopefully the darkness of November isn’t accompanied by below average temps. and lots of rain. Not much worse than wasting good, cold air masses before winter even starts.
  15. Last week
  16. How many days till pitchers and catchers report? what a horrible time to be a philly sports phan all of our teams are....uh not good...trying to be kind. Maybe the Flyers could mix in a championship sometime soon....only been 45 years for them - no rush!!
  17. Yea this Oct is shot, going to verify as a warm october in the gigi scale. Still think we get a cool shot end of oct into start of Nov. MJO if it holds should be phase 8 in the first half of nov which is below normal for the east.
  18. In case you are awake early Wednesday morning. This year’s Orionid meteor shower lasts from October 2 to November 7, and it’s expected to peak in the early hours of Wednesday, October 21, according to the American Meteor Society. Each night, the shower should be visible from about 11:30 p.m. to 5:40 a.m., with best viewing from 4:40 to 5:40 a.m., per the Griffith Observatory.
  19. Early start to what should be a big winter for the upper Midwest
  20. Yep, that cold push for the end of of the month went poof. Signs of things to come I’m afraid
  21. Looks like the euro won out and the torch is on for the remaining days of the month.
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