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April/May Meteorological Pattern Discussion
mshaffer526 replied to Rainshadow6.6's topic in Medium and Long Range Discussion
The worm is turning. - Today
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Another (convective) event and another April event in which the EC family is limping toward the finish line. Yes convection can mar the results further and why we don't bother with warm season evaluations. This was not a case where Philadelphia was terribly unrepresentative. All the big climo sites had less than .10" and the NJ Cocorahs roundup 87% of the stations had less than 0.20". The new GFS eked out a first place finish and the EPS finished last. Another unimpressive showing by the UKMET.
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COVID-19 check-in; Pfizer, Moderna, JNJ All Have Vaccines.
Rainshadow6.6 replied to snowlurker's topic in Obs/Banter
I'd go with the swiss cheese model. It is more accurate than the GFS and also tastier. Every bit helps. It didn't hurt either there was not much of a flu season in the southern hemisphere last summer. -
56.4"
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I ate some lettuce the other night that made it thru our winter. I think I am still normal, so they should be ok. Not sure about the hail part though.
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The New 1991-2020 Climate Normals Coming This May
Rainshadow6.6 replied to Rainshadow6.6's topic in Obs/Banter
They missed a spot in Chester County. -
00z/22nd Ensemble Comparison 4/22-5/7. Normal 850mb temp around +6C. A warm end to April; a warm start to May? GEFS Start Of Teleconnection Fcst Skill: NAO Day 14; PNA Day 12; AO Day 14+ Recent Verification Tendency: NAO more negative, PNA neutral, AO more positive GEFS: (day shorter) Below normal 850mb temp anomalies thru Apr 26th, above normal anomalies Apr 27th thru May 7th. (end of run) GEPS: (day longer) Below normal 850mb temp anomalies thru Apr 26th, (longer) above normal anomalies Apr 27th thru May 1st, near normal an
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COVID-19 check-in; Pfizer, Moderna, JNJ All Have Vaccines.
andrewmo.tennisman replied to snowlurker's topic in Obs/Banter
Also thought I'd share that both my Mom and Dad have gotten both doses of Moderna now, and neither of them had issues and they both have some type of pre-existing condition. All both of them had was sore arm in the injection area. My bro got his first Moderna as well and he had no issues other than the same sore arm in location of injection. My bro and I go for our second Moderna's on Thu 5/6 and Fri 5/7 back to back days at WCU South Campus. At least the weather should start warming up soon long term based on what I'm seeing. This might be best for another thread on here this part, but seems -
The New 1991-2020 Climate Normals Coming This May
Chubbs replied to Rainshadow6.6's topic in Obs/Banter
How the new normals compare to past 30-year normals. https://climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-and-1991-2020-us-climate-normals -
@Rainshadow6.6 We shall see what damage was done on the young vegetable plants in the garden with the 1-2 punch from Mother Nature (hail, then cold temps). The hail matted down some plants. I suspect the radish will be ok, hopefully lettuce, spinach, kale, chard will recover.