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chescopawxman

JB continues his further south forecast for 2/9....

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JB not surprisingly has not been buying the further north solutions and put out a snow map yesterday that had accumulating snow down to Philly....not sure what he was thinking but....he is not backing down and of course he likes the trends. He also commented Philly and DC will get their snow in Feb/March - he says the snow season is just beginning there.

 

"I think this storm now is more than likely to trend further south on each run rather than north.. it is what I am counting on. The NAM has suddenly shifted south, though admittedly neither run is not to where I think they have to get ( 50-100 miles south of the current forecasts) But we should wind up with a storm on the Va Capes Sunday night and the upper max far enough south so what usually happens in February when that happens, happens. As it is it appears for the NE the relentless pounding is just going to get worst, with severe cold now coming in stronger waves and the threats of snow"

 

"As confident as I was with the target period Jan 26-Feb 10 back on the 15th. While some of you have not shared in the total woe ( is as if it wont spread around the wealth as far as snow) there will be a new regime on the helm here that will make sure the proper redistribution of miserable weather occurs, even while taxing the wealthiest of the winter cold and snow even more"

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JB post below

 

"I still think the ECWMF will outdo the GFS with this storm, though the GFS is now seeing accumulating snow to the Mason Dixon line ( actually an isolated area. But amounts have increased around NYC for instance and given its performance in the two events, the one the 23rd and 24th and most recently, last Monday, the area east of what is now I-99 and as far south as ACY to DC is still the same to me with snow. As for most of New England, its like shooting fish in a barrel with snow now, though the barrel is frozen and you cant find it anyway cause its covered with snow"

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Even though people may disagree with the people in here being quoted, they're still meteorologists. If you disagree with a statement explain it, don't just rip and load.

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JB post below

 

"I still think the ECWMF will outdo the GFS with this storm, though the GFS is now seeing accumulating snow to the Mason Dixon line ( actually an isolated area. But amounts have increased around NYC for instance and given its performance in the two events, the one the 23rd and 24th and most recently, last Monday, the area east of what is now I-99 and as far south as ACY to DC is still the same to me with snow. As for most of New England, its like shooting fish in a barrel with snow now, though the barrel is frozen and you cant find it anyway cause its covered with snow"

The only problem is, no model has anywhere near the amount of qpf to generate those snow totals one bit. If he were to cut them by 2/3rds maybe closer to reality.

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Yep - he keeps harping on the low forming SE of the area and more quickly drawing in cold air than any model shows.....not likely to verify 

The only problem is, no model has anywhere near the amount of qpf to generate those snow totals one bit. If he were to cut them by 2/3rds maybe closer to reality.

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just posted on bastardi twitter feed

@WGGBWeather @1stHandWeather

weekend shot worse, colder, more expansive further west. Outrageous GFS run tonight

GFS run tonight from m plains to se as bad as it gets.1 arctic attack after another. 0 to NYC 32 to Orl,blizzard possible lakes to ma wknd

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