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tombo82685

Adams tropical forecast for the season

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Adam, I expect your thoughts for the season in here by Memorial Day. Breakdown of tropical storms, hurricanes, how many major, landfalls.

Sincerely, me

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Is their an MJO phase that enhances tropical activity? I would assume any phase when there is an east coast ridge with bermuda high increases the threat of a strike?

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I'd say below normal based on the upcoming nino. Modeled SST in the tropical Atlantic aren't inspiring either for an active season. 

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Adam, In Nino years do we get an early season storm usually or are they usually during peak season?

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Ninos are notorious for early season activity. By peak season, the walker cell just shears everything to bits

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9/4/1 but with an east coast threat in August

Bump

Adam, I'm curious to know if you still think an East Coast impact is in the cards.

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Bump

Adam, I'm curious to know if you still think an East Coast impact is in the cards.

If the SAL dies down, the H5 pattern will be conducive for a threat

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That is the nastiest looking cyclone I have ever seen. Would hate to be in the upper right quad of that!

You don't recall Haiyan do ya?

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fc054973b80e4eaa376567bcb1798413.jpg

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