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irishbri74

6/27 slight risk Obs

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allentown to nyc I think is shot for svr. They will get their rain, but doubt anything svr. Not to impressed with what things look like upstream so far. But will give it another couple hours

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14 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

This is over for anything severe north of ttn. The clouds this morning never burnt off 

Don’t be sure of that...still have some decent forcing up there. In the late June sun, won’t need much to destabilize. 

BEBE0645-140A-48B3-BCCF-524A55DF303C.png

E5776537-0FCB-4D93-B4B1-9837E57A10F9.png

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At the very least I was hopeful that I wouldn’t need to water today. I think that’s very much in jeopardy lol.

 

That line by ABE should really explode south of Mercer county 

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5 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

At the very least I was hopeful that I wouldn’t need to water today. I think that’s very much in jeopardy lol.

 

That line by ABE should really explode south of Mercer county 

You will get rain 

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5 minutes ago, irishbri74 said:

Don’t be sure of that...still have some decent forcing up there. In the late June sun, won’t need much to destabilize. 

BEBE0645-140A-48B3-BCCF-524A55DF303C.png

E5776537-0FCB-4D93-B4B1-9837E57A10F9.png

Looks way overdone to me. I’ll sell on Svr Andy latitude on north. Not sure down south of there we get Svr, just seem to be to far removed from disturbance to initiate 

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Feels like I'm going to be watching anvils go by 10 miles to my north today. 

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Svr warning for LV. I dunno, I’m not seeing anything of velocity for high winds. Maybe some pea size hail?

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Sunny - 83. Rained for roughly half hour earlier without wetting the pavement.

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20 minutes ago, mshaffer526 said:

Feels like I'm going to be watching anvils go by 10 miles to my north today. 

 

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26 minutes ago, mshaffer526 said:

Feels like I'm going to be watching anvils go by 10 30 miles to my north today. 

 

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52 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

Looks way overdone to me. I’ll sell on Svr Andy latitude on north. Not sure down south of there we get Svr, just seem to be to far removed from disturbance to initiate 

Looks spot on to me:

C409C255-632A-4097-8109-ED8244DDD6EB.png
 

it’s hard to compare severity on the sim radar, but placement and coverage wise. I Should pulled the updraft helicity values.

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2 minutes ago, irishbri74 said:

Looks spot on to me:

C409C255-632A-4097-8109-ED8244DDD6EB.png
 

it’s hard to compare severity on the sim radar, but placement and coverage wise. I Should pulled the updraft helicity values.

It’s way overdone by nyc and up by allsnow. Around Allentown it’s pretty good. So I give it credit there. 

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About 30 seconds of big rain drops, thought it might be hail but it wasn't, from the 3 pop up storms that just went by me. 

See what the larger line brings me in a few. 

Screenshot_20200627-153047_RadarScope.jpg

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I pulled the trigger to quick on no svr threat for LV as that has verified. So bad call there 

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2 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

I pulled the trigger to quick on no svr threat for LV as that has verified. So bad call there 

I'm sure it doesn’t give you the warm and fuzzy feeling coming from me, but I thought the same thing. 😉

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Just now, Rainshadow5.8 said:

Great inflow for those storms. I am on the verge of a pole bean rant.

More inflow please 

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11 minutes ago, cbelke said:

I'm sure it doesn’t give you the warm and fuzzy feeling coming from me, but I thought the same thing. 😉

I should of waited before saying that. Didn’t give it enough time to get into better instability.  Wrong is wrong 

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2 minutes ago, Rainshadow5.8 said:

Please, the cacti are not looking desiccated enough.

Sounds like my yard 

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