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Chubbs

Oct 10-12 Subtropical Storm Melissa

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29 minutes ago, Rainshadow said:

This is a surprising late in the forecast game for the Euro to "get a clue".  Usually it locks in the big picture at about 120 hours, not 72 hours. This system, the GFS is on its way to owning it...

 

Somebody give the GFS a software update?

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Given how the day started, it never really stopped raining here and we are up to 0.40" thru 715 pm. 

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9 minutes ago, Rainshadow said:

0.41" yesterday was the greatest one day total here in nearly a month.

Yup, my one-day total (7 AM 10/8 to 7 AM 10/9) of 0.42" was the highest since August 2nd (!), when we had 0.88". Haven't had a day with over an inch of rain since the 2"+ soaker on July 23rd.

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The sides of some of the more low-lying roads have barricades around them, and we're barely at Minor stage this morning. Tomorrow should be interesting

acyn4_hg (1).png

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25 minutes ago, ACwx said:

The sides of some of the more low-lying roads have barricades around them, and we're barely at Minor stage this morning. Tomorrow should be interesting

Headed down to OC tomorrow. Yes, should be interesting. Mouth of De Bay buoy below.

wna.44009.bull.2.png

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1 hour ago, ACwx said:

The sides of some of the more low-lying roads have barricades around them, and we're barely at Minor stage this morning. Tomorrow should be interesting

acyn4_hg (1).png

You beat me to the punch.  Was going to post this graph. Yeah three successive moderate tidal flooding cycles, not much fun.

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1. Showers have become more concentrated this morning near the center
of a non-tropical low pressure system located off the northeastern
and mid-Atlantic coasts of the United States.  This low, which is
currently producing storm-force winds, is expected to continue
meandering off the coast through tonight, producing strong winds,
coastal flooding, heavy rainfall, and rough surf along portions of
the mid-Atlantic and northeastern United States coasts.  Some
additional subtropical or tropical development is possible through
tonight.  Upper-level winds are expected to increase over the system
during the weekend while the low weakens and moves away from the
northeastern United States.  Additional information on this system
can be found in local products and High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

COD-GOES-East-subregional-Mid_Atlantic.02.20191011.115127-over=map-bars=.gif

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8 hours ago, ACwx said:

AC beach on a normal day vs high tide this morning

IMG_20190401_102059878.jpg

IMG_20191011_072542212.jpg

Wow.

 

North Wildwood this morning.

34343.JPG.4a1b02b5e830edb6997f8a6fe9293741.JPG

 

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Typical noreaster street flooding/beach erosion in OC without the rain/high winds.

ocsurf10_11.JPG

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