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Rainshadow

Meteorological Summer Pattern Discussion, Because Tom <3 It Hot. Summer Analogs On Page 2.

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Sometimes the 500mb & 850mb anomalies don't mesh.  That is good for us this week, not so good the following week which also looks warmer on the EPS.

gfs-ens_z500a_us_28.png.04996bdf992243b6a7ce44719e7c14d6.pnggfs-ens_T850a_us_28.png.d5bd463872033f5bda145187c3931112.pnggfs-ens_z500a_us_33.png.19022bee707bfbf9f880e0a3e7f2a02d.pnggfs-ens_T850a_us_33.png.7950618b00845dc42c0cb23e4500c646.pnggfs-ens_z500a_us_49.png.35ccb701f40fe92a969871817051edfa.pnggfs-ens_T850a_us_49.png.b9b644869518c03bdbb2e37773cd57d8.png

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31 minutes ago, Rainshadow said:

Next week's heat is gaining legs.   If the EPS is showing a 90, chances are its 90-95.

:bleh:

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10 hours ago, irishbri74 said:

It’s gonna be a warm 2nd half of the month..

 

 

976B2FF3-B3EA-4463-A32C-43735B317531.gif

Not looking great.  This is the first forecast period of decent below average 850mb anomalies and it is well into la la land:

gfs_T850a_us_53.png.b89e3cbf64cfbad0d5a21d3fd1fb8080.png

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Well it still is August so nothing out of the ordinary. Atleast the 90s look to be a couple days or so. Now if this were September I’d personally go to laurel creek and stomp on the figs 

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2 hours ago, tombo82685 said:

Well it still is August so nothing out of the ordinary. Atleast the 90s look to be a couple days or so. Now if this were September I’d personally go to laurel creek and stomp on the figs 

Yup; I'd rather see next week's weather where it is on the calendar vs the first full week of September.  If it has legs as MV's site is outlooking, then colder MJO phases ( 6 & 8 ) are on their way toward the end of this month.

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59 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

ugly eps and euro run, would argue for 5 or so 90 days starting possibly saturday

The summer month(ly) pattern repeats itself of the second half being hotter than the first half.  Euro itself worse than the GFS with no end in sight.

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54 minutes ago, Rainshadow said:

The summer month(ly) pattern repeats itself of the second half being hotter than the first half.  Euro itself worse than the GFS with no end in sight.

image.png.46fbf2b9b2c9f79db52885cc0a371117.png

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12 hours ago, irishbri74 said:

18z Op GFS was a freaking torch start to finish. Most days above 90

On the plus side the 18z OP GFS run on January 21, 2020 wont have any max temps above freezing.

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Next Friday thru Sunday predicted highs:

EPS 83, 82 & 84.

EC 84, 80, 87

GFS 91, 93, 96

GEFS 86, 84, 87

 

 

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