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Rainshadow

If It Is Meteorlogical Summer, The GFS Must Forecast 100 Degree Days & Above 80 Degree Dew Points.

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Verification in parentheses

 

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16................14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher. 100F on 6/27 & 6/28, 99F on 6/26. 

18z on 6/20................101F on 7/2 & 99F on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher.

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points.

00z on 6/24................102F on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point) and 99F on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F on 7/1, 103F on 7/2 (with dew points of 76 & 88 & 95% sky coverage) & 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F on 6/30 & 101F on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F on 7/1 & 100F on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F on 7/1,  105F on 7/2, 102F on 7/3 & 7/4.    DCA 108F on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F on 7/1 & 7/2

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F on 6/25, 99F on 6/26 and 98F on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 & 7/1.

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 & 7/2.

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On Sunday, the 00z/25th GFS solution of 102F is the only one out of a combined 73 Op Euro/EPS/GEFS members to get Philly to 100F.  Congrats on the coup of a lifetime.  There are no EPS members and just one additional GEFS member that reaches 100F on Monday July 2nd when the 00z/25th GFS is forecasting the second highest temperature ever in the history of PHL.

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Verification in parentheses

 

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16................14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher. 100F on 6/27 & 6/28, 99F on 6/26. 

18z on 6/20................101F on 7/2 & 99F on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher.

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points.

00z on 6/24................102F on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point) and 99F on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F on 7/1, 103F on 7/2 (with dew points of 76 & 88 & 95% sky coverage) & 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F on 6/30 & 101F on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F on 7/1 & 100F on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F on 7/1,  105F on 7/2, 102F on 7/3 & 7/4.    DCA 108F on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F on 7/1 & 7/2

12z on 6/25................100F on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F on 7/1

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F on 6/26 and 98F on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 & 7/1.

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 & 7/2.

00z/June 26th 99F on 7/1.

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Verification in parentheses

 

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16................14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher. 100F on 6/27 & 6/28, 99F (81F)  on 6/26. 

18z on 6/20................101F on 7/2 & 99F on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher.

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points.

00z on 6/24................102F on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point) and 99F on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F on 7/1, 103F on 7/2 (with dew points of 76 & 88 & 95% sky coverage) & 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F on 6/30 & 101F on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F on 7/1 & 100F on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F on 7/1,  105F on 7/2, 102F on 7/3 & 7/4.    DCA 108F on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F on 7/1 & 7/2

12z on 6/25................100F on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F on 7/1

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 & 7/1.

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 & 7/2.

00z/June 26th 99F on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F on 7/1.

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Say what you want about the outcome (as I do), of course it did its too early fits and starts, but it pegged 7/1 & 7/2 as hot pretty early on.

Verification in parentheses

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16................14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher. 100F on 6/27 (74F) & 6/28, 99F (81F)  on 6/26. 

18z on 6/20................101F on 7/2 & 99F on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher.

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points.

00z on 6/24................102F on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point) and 99F on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F on 7/1, 103F on 7/2 (with dew points of 76 & 88 & 95% sky coverage) & 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F on 6/30 & 101F on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F on 7/1 & 100F on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F on 7/1,  105F on 7/2, 102F on 7/3 & 7/4.    DCA 108F on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F on 7/1 & 7/2

12z on 6/25................100F on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F on 7/1

00z on 6/28................103F on 7/1 & 99F on 7/2

06z on 6/28................102F on 7/1 & 105F on 7/2

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F)  on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 & 7/1.

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 & 7/2.

00z/June 26th 99F on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F on 7/1.

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Say what you want about the outcome (as I do), of course it did its too early fits and starts, but it pegged 7/1 & 7/2 as hot pretty early on.

Verification in parentheses

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16................14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher. 100F on 6/27 (74F) & 6/28 (88F), 99F (81F)  on 6/26. 

18z on 6/20................101F on 7/2 & 99F on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher.

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points.

00z on 6/24................102F on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point) and 99F on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F on 7/1, 103F on 7/2 (with dew points of 76 & 88 & 95% sky coverage) & 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F on 6/30 & 101F on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F on 7/1 & 100F on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F on 7/1,  105F on 7/2, 102F on 7/3 & 7/4.    DCA 108F on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F on 7/1 & 7/2

12z on 6/25................100F on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F on 7/1

00z on 6/28................103F on 7/1 & 99F on 7/2

06z on 6/28................102F on 7/1 & 105F on 7/2

12z on 6/28................102F on 7/1 & 7/2

18z on 6/28................100F on 7/1, 101F on 7/2, 100F on 7/5, 99F on 7/6 & 7/7, 100F on 7/13, or what the heck 99 or 100F thru 9/30

 

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F)  on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 & 7/1.

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 & 7/2.

00z/June 26th 99F on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F on 7/1.

00z/June 29th 99F on 7/1, 7/2 & 7/5.

06z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 & 7/2.

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Say what you want about the outcome (as I do), of course it did its too early fits and starts, but it pegged 7/1 & 7/2 as hot pretty early on.

Verification in parentheses

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16................14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher. 100F on 6/27 (74F) & 6/28 (88F), 99F (81F)  on 6/26. 

18z on 6/20................101F on 7/2 & 99F on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher.

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points.

00z on 6/24................102F on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point) and 99F on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F on 7/1, 103F on 7/2 (with dew points of 76 & 88 & 95% sky coverage) & 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F on 6/30 & 101F on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F on 7/1 & 100F on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F on 7/1,  105F on 7/2, 102F on 7/3 & 7/4.    DCA 108F on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F on 7/1 & 7/2

12z on 6/25................100F on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F on 7/1

00z on 6/28................103F on 7/1 & 99F on 7/2

06z on 6/28................102F on 7/1 & 105F on 7/2

12z on 6/28................102F on 7/1 & 7/2

18z on 6/28................100F on 7/1, 101F on 7/2, 100F on 7/5, 99F on 7/6 & 7/7, 100F on 7/13, or what the heck 99 or 100F thru 9/30

12z on 6/29................100F on 7/1 & 7/2

18z on 6/29................99F on 7/1, 100F on 7/2, 100F on 7/12, 99F on 7/13 & 100F on 7/14.

00z on 6/30................100F on 7/1 & 7/2 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 6/30................99F on 7/1 & 102F on 7/2

 

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F)  on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 & 7/1.

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 & 7/2.

00z/June 26th 99F on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F on 7/1.

00z/June 29th 99F on 7/1, 7/2 & 7/5.

06z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 & 7/2.

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Say what you want about the outcome (as I do), of course it did its too early fits and starts, but it pegged 7/1 & 7/2 as hot pretty early on.

Verification in parentheses

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16................14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher. 100F on 6/27 (74F) & 6/28 (88F), 99F (81F)  on 6/26. 

18z on 6/20................101F on 7/2 & 99F on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher.

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points.

00z on 6/24................102F on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point) and 99F on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F on 7/1, 103F on 7/2 (with dew points of 76 & 88 & 95% sky coverage) & 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F (95F) on 6/30 & 101F on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F on 7/1 & 100F on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F on 7/1,  105F on 7/2, 102F on 7/3 & 7/4.    DCA 108F on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F on 7/1 & 7/2

12z on 6/25................100F on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F on 7/1

00z on 6/28................103F on 7/1 & 99F on 7/2

06z on 6/28................102F on 7/1 & 105F on 7/2

12z on 6/28................102F on 7/1 & 7/2

18z on 6/28................100F on 7/1, 101F on 7/2, 100F on 7/5, 99F on 7/6 & 7/7, 100F on 7/13, or what the heck 99 or 100F thru 9/30

12z on 6/29................100F on 7/1 & 7/2

18z on 6/29................99F on 7/1, 100F on 7/2, 100F on 7/12, 99F on 7/13 & 100F on 7/14.

00z on 6/30................100F on 7/1 & 7/2 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 6/30................99F on 7/1 & 102F on 7/2

12z on 6/30................99F on 7/1, 100F on 7/2 & 101F on 7/3

 

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F)  on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/1.

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/2.

00z/June 26th 99F on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F on 7/1.

00z/June 29th 99F on 7/1, 7/2 & 7/5.

06z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 & 7/2.

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Say what you want about the outcome (as I do), of course it did its too early fits and starts, but it pegged 7/1 & 7/2 as hot pretty early on.

Verification in parentheses

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16................14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher. 100F on 6/27 (74F) & 6/28 (88F), 99F (81F)  on 6/26. 

18z on 6/20................101F on 7/2 & 99F on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher.

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points.

00z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point) and 99F on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1, 103F on 7/2 (with dew points of 76 & 88 & 95% sky coverage) & 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F (95F) on 6/30 & 101F  (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F (95F) on 7/1,  105F on 7/2, 102F on 7/3 & 7/4.    DCA 108F on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F (95F) on 7/1 & 7/2

12z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

00z on 6/28................103F (95F) on 7/1 & 99F on 7/2

06z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 105F on 7/2

12z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 7/2

18z on 6/28................100F (95F) on 7/1, 101F on 7/2, 100F on 7/5, 99F on 7/6 & 7/7, 100F on 7/13, or what the heck 99 or 100F thru 9/30

12z on 6/29................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 7/2

18z on 6/29................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F on 7/2, 100F on 7/12, 99F on 7/13 & 100F on 7/14.

00z on 6/30................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 7/2 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F on 7/2

12z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F on 7/2 & 101F on 7/3

18z on 6/30...............100F on 7/2

00z on 7/1..................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F on 7/2

06z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F on 7/2

12z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F on 7/2

18z on 7/1.................100F on 7/2 & 99F on 7/16

00z on 7/2.................99F on 7/2, 99F on 7/13, 100F on 7/14 & 99F on 7/15

 

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F)  on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F (95F) on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/1 (95F) .

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/2.

00z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

00z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) , 7/2 & 7/5.

06z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) & 7/2.

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Say what you want about the outcome (as I do), of course it did its too early fits and starts, but it pegged 7/1 & 7/2 as hot pretty early on.

Verification in parentheses

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16............... 100F on 6/27 (74F) & 6/28 (88F), 99F (81F)  on 6/26. 14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher.

18z on 6/20................101F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher.

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points.

00z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point, highest 75F) and 99F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1, 103F (97F) on 7/2 (dew point of 88F, highest 75F) & 103F 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F (95F) on 6/30 & 101F  (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F (95F) on 7/1,  105F (97F) on 7/2, 102F on 7/3 & 7/4.          DCA 108F (95F) on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F (95F) on 7/1 & 7/2 (97F)

12z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

00z on 6/28................103F (95F) on 7/1 & 99F (97F) on 7/2 

06z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 105F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/28................100F (95F) on 7/1, 101F (97F) on 7/2, 100F on 7/5, 99F on 7/6 & 7/7, 100F on 7/13, or what the heck 99 or 100F thru 9/30

12z on 6/29................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/29................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2, 100F on 7/12, 99F on 7/13 & 100F on 7/14.

00z on 6/30................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2 & 101F on 7/3

18z on 6/30...............100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/1..................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

18z on 7/1.................100F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F on 7/16

00z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F on 7/13, 100F on 7/14 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F on 7/14, 100F on 7/15, 102F on 7/16

12z on 7/2.................100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/3.................100F on 7/3.  Special kind of stupid with an afternoon predicted 850mb temp of 19C to go along with it.

 

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F)  on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F (95F) on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/1 (95F) .

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/2 (97F)

00z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

00z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) , 7/2 (97F) & 7/5.

06z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) & 7/2 (97F) .

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Say what you want about the outcome (as I do), of course it did its too early fits and starts, but it pegged 7/1 & 7/2 as hot pretty early on.

Verification in parentheses

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16............... 100F on 6/27 (74F) & 6/28 (88F), 99F (81F)  on 6/26. 14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher.

18z on 6/20................101F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher.

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points.

00z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point, highest 75F) and 99F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1, 103F (97F) on 7/2 (dew point of 88F, highest 75F) & 103F 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F (95F) on 6/30 & 101F  (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F (95F) on 7/1,  105F (97F) on 7/2, 102F on 7/3 & 7/4.          DCA 108F (95F) on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F (95F) on 7/1 & 7/2 (97F)

12z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

00z on 6/28................103F (95F) on 7/1 & 99F (97F) on 7/2 

06z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 105F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/28................100F (95F) on 7/1, 101F (97F) on 7/2, 100F on 7/5, 99F on 7/6 & 7/7, 100F on 7/13, or what the heck 99 or 100F thru 9/30

12z on 6/29................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/29................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2, 100F on 7/12, 99F on 7/13 & 100F on 7/14.

00z on 6/30................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2 & 101F on 7/3

18z on 6/30...............100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/1..................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

18z on 7/1.................100F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F on 7/16

00z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F on 7/13, 100F on 7/14 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F on 7/14, 100F on 7/15, 102F on 7/16

12z on 7/2.................100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/3.................100F on 7/3.  Special kind of stupid with an afternoon predicted 850mb temp of 19C to go along with it.

06z on 7/3.................101F on 7/3.  Thank God the predicted 850mb temp rose to, oh, still 19C.  :rolleyes:

                                     Also 102F on 7/13 (81 Dew Point), & 100F on 7/14 (83 Dew Point)

 

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F)  on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F (95F) on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/1 (95F) .

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/2 (97F)

00z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

00z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) , 7/2 (97F) & 7/5.

06z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) & 7/2 (97F) .

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Say what you want about the outcome (as I do), of course it did its too early fits and starts, but it pegged 7/1 & 7/2 as hot pretty early on.

Verification in parentheses

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16............... 100F on 6/27 (74F) & 6/28 (88F), 99F (81F)  on 6/26. 14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher.

18z on 6/20................101F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F (98F) on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher.

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points.

00z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point, highest 75F) and 99F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1, 103F (97F) on 7/2 (dew point of 88F, highest 75F) & 103F (98F) 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F (95F) on 6/30 & 101F  (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F (95F) on 7/1,  105F (97F) on 7/2, 102F (98F) on 7/3 & 7/4.          DCA 108F (95F) on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F (95F) on 7/1 & 7/2 (97F)

12z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

00z on 6/28................103F (95F) on 7/1 & 99F (97F) on 7/2 

06z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 105F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/28................100F (95F) on 7/1, 101F (97F) on 7/2, 100F on 7/5, 99F on 7/6 & 7/7, 100F on 7/13, or what the heck 99 or 100F thru 9/30

12z on 6/29................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/29................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2, 100F on 7/12, 99F on 7/13 & 100F on 7/14.

00z on 6/30................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2 & 101F (98F) on 7/3

18z on 6/30...............100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/1..................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

18z on 7/1.................100F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F on 7/16

00z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F on 7/13, 100F on 7/14 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F on 7/14, 100F on 7/15, 102F on 7/16

12z on 7/2.................100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/3.................100F (98F) on 7/3.  

06z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3.  Also 102F on 7/13 (81 Dew Point), & 100F on 7/14 (83 Dew Point)

12z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3, 100F on 7/13 (80 Dew Point) & 102F on 7/15

00z on 7/4.................100F on 7/16 (80 Dew Point)

06z on 7/4.................100F on 7/15 with a 2PM dew point of 84F.

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F)  on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F (95F) on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/1 (95F) .

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/2 (97F)

00z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

00z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) , 7/2 (97F) & 7/5.

06z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) & 7/2 (97F) .

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Say what you want about the outcome (as I do), of course it did its too early fits and starts, but it pegged 7/1 & 7/2 as hot pretty early on.

Verification in parentheses

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16............... 100F on 6/27 (74F) & 6/28 (88F), 99F (81F)  on 6/26. 14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher.

18z on 6/20................101F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F (98F) on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher.

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points.

00z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point, highest 75F) and 99F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1, 103F (97F) on 7/2 (dew point of 88F, highest 75F) & 103F (98F) 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F (95F) on 6/30 & 101F  (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F (95F) on 7/1,  105F (97F) on 7/2, 102F (98F) on 7/3 & (94F) 7/4.          DCA 108F (95F) on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F (95F) on 7/1 & 7/2 (97F)

12z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

00z on 6/28................103F (95F) on 7/1 & 99F (97F) on 7/2 

06z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 105F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/28................100F (95F) on 7/1, 101F (97F) on 7/2, 100F on 7/5, 99F on 7/6 & 7/7, 100F on 7/13, or what the heck 99 or 100F thru 9/30

12z on 6/29................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/29................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2, 100F on 7/12, 99F on 7/13 & 100F on 7/14.

00z on 6/30................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2 & 101F (98F) on 7/3

18z on 6/30...............100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/1..................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

18z on 7/1.................100F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F on 7/16

00z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F on 7/13, 100F on 7/14 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F on 7/14, 100F on 7/15, 102F on 7/16

12z on 7/2.................100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/3.................100F (98F) on 7/3.  

06z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3.  Also 102F on 7/13 (81 Dew Point), & 100F on 7/14 (83 Dew Point)

12z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3, 100F on 7/13 (80 Dew Point) & 102F on 7/15

00z on 7/4.................100F on 7/16 (80 Dew Point)

06z on 7/4.................100F on 7/15 with a 2PM dew point of 84F.

00z on 7/5.................100F on 7/18 (80 Dew Point), 99F on 7/19 & 100F on 7/20 (80 Dew Point)

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F)  on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F (95F) on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/1 (95F) .

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/2 (97F)

00z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

00z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) , 7/2 (97F) & 7/5.

06z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) & 7/2 (97F) .

12z/July 5th 99F on 7/20.

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12z euro throwing up hottest 2m temp I've seen this summer for next sunday, 98

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12 hours ago, tombo82685 said:

12z euro throwing up hottest 2m temp I've seen this summer for next sunday, 98

GFS has already had 62 forecasts of 100 degrees or greater this summer, so tell the Euro it has some catching up to do.

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Verification in parentheses

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16............... 100F (74F) on 6/27 , 99F (81F)  on 6/26 & 100F (88F)  on 6/28. 14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher. (Actual 5 days).

18z on 6/20................101F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F (98F) on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher (Actual 4 days). 

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days (Actual 7 days) 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points (Actual none).

00z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point, highest 75F) and 99F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1, 103F (97F) on 7/2 (dew point of 88F, highest 75F) & 103F (98F) 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F (95F) on 6/30 & 101F  (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F (95F) on 7/1,  105F (97F) on 7/2, 102F (98F) on 7/3 & (94F) 7/4.          DCA 108F (95F) on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F (95F) on 7/1 & 7/2 (97F)

12z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

00z on 6/28................103F (95F) on 7/1 & 99F (97F) on 7/2 

06z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 105F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/28................100F (95F) on 7/1, 101F (97F) on 7/2, 100F (95F) on 7/5, 99F (84F) on 7/6 & 7/7, 100F on 7/13, or what the heck 99 or 100F thru 9/30

12z on 6/29................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/29................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2, 100F on 7/12, 99F on 7/13 & 100F on 7/14.

00z on 6/30................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2 & 101F (98F) on 7/3

18z on 6/30...............100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/1..................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

18z on 7/1.................100F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F on 7/16

00z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F on 7/13, 100F on 7/14 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F on 7/14, 100F on 7/15, 102F on 7/16

12z on 7/2.................100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/3.................100F (98F) on 7/3.  

06z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3.  Also 102F on 7/13 (81 Dew Point), & 100F on 7/14 (83 Dew Point)

12z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3, 100F on 7/13 (80 Dew Point) & 102F on 7/15

00z on 7/4.................100F on 7/16 (80 Dew Point)

06z on 7/4.................100F on 7/15 with a 2PM dew point of 84F.

00z on 7/5.................100F on 7/18 (80 Dew Point), 99F on 7/19 & 100F on 7/20 (80 Dew Point).

00z on 7/7.................99F on 7/17 and 100F on 7/19.

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F)  on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F (95F) on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F (84F) on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 (7) consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 (0) consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/1 (95F) .

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/2 (97F)

00z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

00z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) , 7/2 (97F) & 7/5 (94F) .

06z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) & 7/2 (97F) .

12z/July 5th 99F on 7/20.

18z/July 5th 99F on 7/15.

06z/July 6th 99F on 7/16

18z/July 6th 99F on 7/22 with calm winds (at 18z) all the way up thru 850mb.

 

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Verification in parentheses

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16............... 100F (74F) on 6/27 , 99F (81F)  on 6/26 & 100F (88F)  on 6/28. 14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher. (Actual 5 days).

18z on 6/20................101F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F (98F) on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher (Actual 4 days). 

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days (Actual 7 days) 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points (Actual none).

00z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point, highest 75F) and 99F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1, 103F (97F) on 7/2 (dew point of 88F, highest 75F) & 103F (98F) 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F (95F) on 6/30 & 101F  (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F (95F) on 7/1,  105F (97F) on 7/2, 102F (98F) on 7/3 & 102F (94F) 7/4.         DCA 108F (95F) on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F (95F) on 7/1 & 7/2 (97F)

12z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

00z on 6/28................103F (95F) on 7/1 & 99F (97F) on 7/2 

06z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 105F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/28................100F (95F) on 7/1, 101F (97F) on 7/2, 100F (95F) on 7/5, 99F (84F) on 7/6, 99F (79F) on 7/7, 100F on 7/13

12z on 6/29................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/29................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2, 100F on 7/12, 99F on 7/13 & 100F on 7/14.

00z on 6/30................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2 & 101F (98F) on 7/3

18z on 6/30...............100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/1..................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

18z on 7/1.................100F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F on 7/16

00z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F on 7/13, 100F on 7/14 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F on 7/14, 100F on 7/15, 102F on 7/16

12z on 7/2.................100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/3.................100F (98F) on 7/3.  

06z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3.  Also 102F on 7/13 (81 Dew Point), & 100F on 7/14 (83 Dew Point)

12z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3, 100F on 7/13 (80 Dew Point) & 102F on 7/15

00z on 7/4.................100F on 7/16 (80 Dew Point)

06z on 7/4.................100F on 7/15 with a 2PM dew point of 84F.

00z on 7/5.................100F on 7/18 (80 Dew Point), 99F on 7/19 & 100F on 7/20 (80 Dew Point).

00z on 7/7.................99F on 7/17 and 100F on 7/19.

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F)  on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F (95F) on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F (84F) on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 (7) consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 (0) consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/1 (95F) .

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/2 (97F)

00z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

00z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) , 7/2 (97F) & 7/5 (94F) .

06z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) & 7/2 (97F) .

12z/July 5th 99F on 7/20.

18z/July 5th 99F on 7/15.

06z/July 6th 99F on 7/16

18z/July 6th 99F on 7/22 with calm winds (at 18z) all the way up thru 850mb.

 

Four consecutive runs without a 99F or greater forecast, rer getting prepared.

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Verification in parentheses

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16............... 100F (74F) on 6/27 , 99F (81F)  on 6/26 & 100F (88F)  on 6/28. 14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher. (Actual 5 days).

18z on 6/20................101F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F (98F) on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher (Actual 4 days). 

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days (Actual 7 days) 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points (Actual none).

00z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point, highest 75F) and 99F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1, 103F (97F) on 7/2 (dew point of 88F, highest 75F) & 103F (98F) 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F (95F) on 6/30 & 101F  (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F (95F) on 7/1,  105F (97F) on 7/2, 102F (98F) on 7/3 & 102F (94F) 7/4.         DCA 108F (95F) on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F (95F) on 7/1 & 7/2 (97F)

12z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

00z on 6/28................103F (95F) on 7/1 & 99F (97F) on 7/2 

06z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 105F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/28................100F (95F) on 7/1, 101F (97F) on 7/2, 100F (95F) on 7/5, 99F (84F) on 7/6, 99F (79F) on 7/7, 100F on 7/13

12z on 6/29................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/29................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2, 100F on 7/12, 99F on 7/13 & 100F on 7/14.

00z on 6/30................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2 & 101F (98F) on 7/3

18z on 6/30...............100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/1..................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

18z on 7/1.................100F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F on 7/16

00z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F on 7/13, 100F on 7/14 & 99F on 7/15

06z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F on 7/14, 100F on 7/15, 102F on 7/16

12z on 7/2.................100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/3.................100F (98F) on 7/3.  

06z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3.  Also 102F on 7/13 (81 Dew Point), & 100F on 7/14 (83 Dew Point)

12z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3, 100F on 7/13 (80 Dew Point) & 102F on 7/15

00z on 7/4.................100F on 7/16 (80 Dew Point)

06z on 7/4.................100F on 7/15 with a 2PM dew point of 84F.

00z on 7/5.................100F on 7/18 (80 Dew Point), 99F on 7/19 & 100F on 7/20 (80 Dew Point).

00z on 7/7.................99F on 7/17 and 100F on 7/19.

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F)  on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F (95F) on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F (84F) on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 (7) consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 (0) consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/1 (95F) .

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/2 (97F)

00z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

00z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) , 7/2 (97F) & 7/5 (94F) .

06z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) & 7/2 (97F) .

12z/July 5th 99F on 7/20.

18z/July 5th 99F on 7/15.

06z/July 6th 99F on 7/16

18z/July 6th 99F on 7/22 with calm winds (at 18z) all the way up thru 850mb.

12z/July 9th 99F on 7/22

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Verification in parentheses

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16............... 100F (74F) on 6/27 , 99F (81F)  on 6/26 & 100F (88F)  on 6/28. 14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher. (Actual 5 days).

18z on 6/20................101F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F (98F) on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher (Actual 4 days). 

18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days (Actual 7 days) 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points (Actual none).

00z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point, highest 75F) and 99F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1, 103F (97F) on 7/2 (dew point of 88F, highest 75F) & 103F (98F) 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F (95F) on 6/30 & 101F  (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F (95F) on 7/1,  105F (97F) on 7/2, 102F (98F) on 7/3 & 102F (94F) 7/4.         DCA 108F (95F) on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F (95F) on 7/1 & 7/2 (97F)

12z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

00z on 6/28................103F (95F) on 7/1 & 99F (97F) on 7/2 

06z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 105F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/28................100F (95F) on 7/1, 101F (97F) on 7/2, 100F (95F) on 7/5, 99F (84F) on 7/6, 99F (79F) on 7/7, 100F (88F) on 7/13

12z on 6/29................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2 

18z on 6/29................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2, 100F (88F) on 7/12, 99F (88F) on 7/13 & 100F (90F) on 7/14.

00z on 6/30................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2 & 99F (83F) on 7/15

06z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2 & 101F (98F) on 7/3

18z on 6/30...............100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/1..................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

18z on 7/1.................100F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F (95F) on 7/16

00z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F (88F) on 7/13, 100F (90F) on 7/14 & 99F (83F) on 7/15

06z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F (90F) on 7/14, 100F (83F) on 7/15, 102F (95F) on 7/16

12z on 7/2.................100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/3.................100F (98F) on 7/3.  

06z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3.  Also 102F (88F) on 7/13 (81 Dew Point), & 100F (90F) on 7/14 (83 Dew Point)

12z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3, 100F (88F) on 7/13 (80 Dew Point) & 102F (83F) on 7/15

00z on 7/4.................100F (95F) on 7/16 (80 Dew Point)

06z on 7/4.................100F (83F) on 7/15 with a 2PM dew point of 84F.

00z on 7/5.................100F (87F) on 7/18 (80 Dew Point), 99F (86F) on 7/19 & 100F (87F) on 7/20 (80 Dew Point).

00z on 7/7.................99F (94F) on 7/17 and 100F (86F) on 7/19.

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F)  on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F (95F) on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F (84F) on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 (7) consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 (0) consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/1 (95F) .

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/2 (97F)

00z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

00z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) , 7/2 (97F) & 7/5 (94F) .

06z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) & 7/2 (97F) .

12z/July 5th 99F (87F) on 7/20.

18z/July 5th 99F (83F) on 7/15.

06z/July 6th 99F (95F) on 7/16

18z/July 6th 99F (87F) on 7/22 with calm winds (at 18z) all the way up thru 850mb.

12z/July 9th 99F (87F) on 7/22

18z/July 29th  99F on 8/10

 

# Of Times GFS has forecast a high of 100F or greater this summer: 62

# Of Times ECMWF has forecast a high of 100F or greater this summer: 0

Actual number of 100 degree days so far: 0

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I am just dumbfounded that a model can ever spew something out so unrealistic.  Hey Tony you can't verify a forecast with a forecast but when a model churns out a solution (I don't care when in its cycle it is) that is this off (doubling the all time record of number of days of 80F or higher for mins):

Capture.JPGvvvv.JPG.bbe11e44e738a695a81d267b60686ec6.JPG

6.JPG.af714dcf6676eebbee5683e5a0305400.JPG

Speaking of Yummo, check out those dew points....

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Verification in parentheses

 

18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16.  86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15.

12z on 6/16............... 100F (74F) on 6/27 , 99F (81F)  on 6/26 & 100F (88F)  on 6/28. 14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher. (Actual 5 days).

18z on 6/20................101F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F (98F) on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher (Actual 4 days). 

18z on 6/21................ 99F (94F) on 7/5 & 101F (84F) on 7/6;

                                        Last 9 days (Actual 7 days) 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points (Actual none).

00z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point, highest 75F) and 99F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1, 103F (97F) on 7/2 (dew point of 88F, highest 75F) & 103F (98F) 7/3.

12z on 6/24................99F (95F) on 6/30 & 101F  (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/24................101F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 6/25................102F (95F) on 7/1,  105F (97F) on 7/2, 102F (98F) on 7/3 & 102F (94F) 7/4.         DCA 108F (95F) on 7/2

06z on 6/25...............100F (95F) on 7/1 & 7/2 (97F)

12z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

18z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1

00z on 6/28................103F (95F) on 7/1 & 99F (97F) on 7/2 

06z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 105F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) 7/2

18z on 6/28................100F (95F) on 7/1, 101F (97F) on 7/2, 100F (95F) on 7/5, 99F (84F) on 7/6, 99F (79F) on 7/7, 100F (88F) on 7/13

12z on 6/29................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2 

18z on 6/29................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2, 100F (88F) on 7/12, 99F (88F) on 7/13 & 100F (90F) on 7/14.

00z on 6/30................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2 & 99F (83F) on 7/15

06z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2 & 101F (98F) on 7/3

18z on 6/30...............100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/1..................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

06z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2

12z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2

18z on 7/1.................100F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F (95F) on 7/16

00z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F (88F) on 7/13, 100F (90F) on 7/14 & 99F (83F) on 7/15

06z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F (90F) on 7/14, 100F (83F) on 7/15, 102F (95F) on 7/16

12z on 7/2.................100F (97F) on 7/2

00z on 7/3.................100F (98F) on 7/3.  

06z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3.  Also 102F (88F) on 7/13 (81 Dew Point), & 100F (90F) on 7/14 (83 Dew Point)

12z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3, 100F (88F) on 7/13 (80 Dew Point) & 102F (83F) on 7/15

00z on 7/4.................100F (95F) on 7/16 (80 Dew Point)

06z on 7/4.................100F (83F) on 7/15 with a 2PM dew point of 84F.

00z on 7/5.................100F (87F) on 7/18 (80 Dew Point), 99F (86F) on 7/19 & 100F (87F) on 7/20 (80 Dew Point).

00z on 7/7.................99F (94F) on 7/17 and 100F (86F) on 7/19.

00z on 7/31...............99F on 8/10, 101F on 8/11, 100F on 8/13 & 99F on 8/14

06z on 7/31...............100F on 8/10, 102F on 8/11 & 99F on 8/12, plus 6 consecutive mornings of Mins >/=80F DOUBLING the previous all-time record.

 

Honorable mentions:

00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F)  on 6/27.

12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26.

00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F (95F) on 7/1.

06z/June 21st 99F (84F) on 7/6.  Run ends with 8 (7) consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 (0) consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher.  :wacko:

12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/1 (95F) .

00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/2 (97F)

00z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

12z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1.

00z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) , 7/2 (97F) & 7/5 (94F) .

06z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) & 7/2 (97F) .

12z/July 5th 99F (87F) on 7/20.

18z/July 5th 99F (83F) on 7/15.

06z/July 6th 99F (95F) on 7/16

18z/July 6th 99F (87F) on 7/22 with calm winds (at 18z) all the way up thru 850mb.

12z/July 9th 99F (87F) on 7/22

18z/July 29th  99F on 8/10

 

# Of Times GFS has forecast a high of 100F or greater this summer: 66

62 verified outcomes: 45 highs in the 90s, 15 highs in the 80s, 2 highs in the 70s.

# Of Times ECMWF has forecast a high of 100F or greater this summer: 0

Actual number of 100 degree days so far: 0

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