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Rainshadow

FV3 Future GFS Implementation Starts With 12z Run On June 12th.

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Hopefully the snow issue has been reduced, because this gets old real fast with the current GFS

gfs_T2m_neus_52.png.07935d244d13eb108b5e3823cb012e81.png

fv3p_T2m_neus_63.png.99188ff4b4a96abad59587ff62d3c692.png

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7 minutes ago, Rainshadow said:

Oh look, "only" 39 hours of consecutive measurable rain.

 

GFS:

 

 

 

You'll miss it.

Image result for miss me yet meme

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39 minutes ago, cbelke said:

 

 

You'll miss it.

Image result for miss me yet meme

I'll miss it when the FV3 generates a fantasy 54" blizzard this winter.

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14 hours ago, cbelke said:

 

 

You'll miss it.

Image result for miss me yet meme

It is the gift that keeps on giving.

stupid-people_01.jpg.51cc9b486053c8aaa443388cd64125e7.jpg

48 consecutive hours of measurable rain in June, riiiiigggggghhhhhttttt

4554545.JPG.a1ef3f8b043d4f55509720d86f030897.JPG

 

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With the caveat that one can't verify a forecast with a forecast.  But from the same model that brings you non stop rain, once the rain ends:

595313db37b222d68fb731c92b52ab466313d47c0677d2313012d7841da49ed9.jpg.bc76c4517d47b5681188007f673a9b6d.jpg

gfs_T2m_neus_45.png.fdc6a51669774c44f07ee4d32816c73e.png

fv3p_T2m_neus_49.png.7cfcbcdb99c8d813337d6567fced6b1a.png

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1 hour ago, Rainshadow said:

Zero....  (also as in a zero chance of verifying)

0.JPG.1fcad9c689f2f29978c21ab093ef05f2.JPG

 

 

 

 

Ye of little faith.  ;)

 

 

 

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On 6/12/2019 at 8:37 AM, cbelke said:

 

 

 

Ye of little faith.  ;)

 

 

 

The more things change, the more...

gfs_T2m_neus_38.png.30902ae55439b902ff0a3a799cb6d3f0.png

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1 hour ago, Rainshadow said:

The more things change, the more...

 

What's the snow map look like?

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Welp, no surprise here with its plethoras of .01" and never a hint of heavy rain. The past month new GFS bringing up the rear on qpf skill scores and has a terrible wet bias at low pcpn amounts and dry bias at higher observed precip amounts.  Blue line, preferred bias, oh you nam at higher amounts.

 

gfs.JPG.bdcf2c410642692bf52e7fa423692c88.JPG

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