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Rainshadow

Tropical Storm Cindy; its West Euro/Ukie vs East Par GFS

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Based on the look of this spread, there are Euro ensemble members with a GFS type solution.  GFS ensemble members otoh are following the leader...

 

 

17062100_1800.gif

gem-ememb_lowlocs_us_13.png

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_13.png

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This def could play a role in our weather when it collides with the cold front and adds additional moisture to it next weekend or week 

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Coming towards the more reliable ukie and euro awt 

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Eastward lurch by the OP Euro; Westward jog by the GFS, looks like its (modeling) centering near/around the LA/TX border.

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2 hours ago, tombo82685 said:

DCxI4npXcAItWr6.jpg

Maybe not so ironically (it does ok once there is a true tropical system vs the 45 out of the 28 it tries to spin up), the ggem which has been between the gfs and ecmwf may end up with the smallest conus landfalling error.  

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Cindy looks like she is going a bit further South and picking up some speed.  If we can trust the models. :rolleyes:

 

I go by the Murphy's Law model. I'm planning on three days of vacation at the shore starting Sunday. It will slowdown and be raining.

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