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About retiredwxman

  • Birthday 10/16/1953

Profile Information

  • Gender
  • Location:
    Westampton, NJ (1 mi from NWS office)
  • Interests
    Weather, Skiing, Bowling, Gardening, Travel

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  1. offshore location not so good for nj coast unless it is farther e or se. Means more of a n/ne wind. Bad for tidal flooding and also beach erosion, especially since it could be long duration. Interesting looking longer range, GFS moves it out to sea then loops it back west (too far east to hit us again) before moving away finally.
  2. I sorta hope the models are right giving us rain from Hermine. An inland track and then off the sj coast would be good for heavy rain over the philly region. With Tropical Systems, the heaviest rain tends to be on the west side of the track, due to circulation and friction (and uplift in our area). We need the rain, but lets keep it under 5 inches so any flooding is lessened. An inland track would also help keep winds from being too strong and limit beach erosion as southerly and southeast winds limit beach erosion vs the n/ne winds which cause erosion.
  3. retiredwxman

    Medium - long range tropics

    Amazing the flip flop of the GFS and how bad it can be long range. The 12z run on Aug 27th for 384 showed a strong cold front in ohio valley and not tropical conditions. The 18z is just the opposite with a strong hurricane approaching the E Coast. Anyone else betting that this is wrong.
  4. Just something I came across that may interest all of us. I wish I could afford it. I didn't know where to post this, but thought medium and long range might apply since it is happening the next few weeks. I am talking about the first cruise through the Northwest passage/Canadian Northwest passage. Here is a link... http://www.foxnews.com/travel/2016/08/25/where-luxury-meets-danger-inside-first-northwest-passage-cruise.html It costs minimum 22k per person. It should last 35 days. It starts in Alaska and ends in New York City. I could not find the exact dates of the cruise. The article mentions they will have an ice breaker escort and helicopters at the ready if needed. Bob
  5. I hope the cool down is correct. Normals after Labor day are around 80, so even above normal is not bad, as long as it isn't record highs. We do need rain though. So far out in time, I don't trust much in way of models too long range. Any hurricane or typhoon entering the jetstream can have a big impact and change the worldwide pattern.
  6. Finally the zero isotherm gets close to the US in Maine. Per the ECMWF from 12z Thu, the 10 day fcst for 12z Sep 4 shows the zero isotherm at h8 just nw of Maine. With the Tropical systems and now the H8 zero, Autumn is finally showing up. Bob
  7. retiredwxman

    Medium - long range tropics

    I was just looking at the ECMWF and it looks like Fl Panhandle after Miami/Keys. This far out though, all of FL and the Gulf Coast should be paying attention. NHC 5 day also supports a storm headed to Fla. Amazing to also see GEM and UKMET from 12z also show a system heading to east coast of FL. The ECMWF looks to be the farthest South. Hoping for colder weather and snow in as little as 3 months. Bob
  8. retiredwxman

    Winter banter Thread

    If you or anyone who skis want to ski Europe, I highly recommend it. They have skiing for all abilities, but depending on resort, some have more easy, others, more of the difficult, just like in USA. Skiing in Europe is different from here. The food is much better and I like to say that in the US we eat to ski, but in Europe we ski to eat. Also, if you do want to go, just check out the ski clubs. Most include breakfast and dinner at the ski resort, as well as a room and transportation. They list their trips in the summer and the overseas ones usually book quickly. Some clubs do an extension after the ski portion of 1 week and visit a nearby major city. If anyone wants a ski club recommendation, please send me a private message.
  9. retiredwxman

    Winter banter Thread

    Yes they have. The French Alps where we will be skiing are 95 percent open. The 5 percent that isn't open is the extreme skiing which I avoid. With the dump they should get this coming weekend, I expect pristine skiing conditions.
  10. retiredwxman

    Winter banter Thread

    They are beautiful and totally different vs N. America including the Rockies.
  11. retiredwxman

    Winter banter Thread

    Maybe it is too early to start a new thread for next sunday possible storm, but if it happens, my new snowblower jinx will still be in effect since I will be out of the country. However, I will be seeing my own deep snow storm in the French Alps (skiing). Can't call it a blizzard there since they don't usually get the wind with their storms. Interesting progs on both the ECMWF and GFS for that area next Sunday Feb 7.
  12. retiredwxman

    Winter banter Thread

    are you sure you don't want to be call "Snowshadow", we already have "Rainshadow"
  13. retiredwxman

    Winter banter Thread

    I hate to say this, but I have a "feeling" we won't see any more big snows in southern NJ. My reasoning is that I just upgraded my snowblower and bought a new one. My old one still runs OK, but I decided to go to a 2 stage. I have a big driveway and sidewalk, but it was more work getting rid of the snow/slush that the plows piled at the bottom of my driveway. I hope I get to use the new blower, but we all know about a jinx when you buy a new one.
  14. retiredwxman

    1/22-1/24/2016 Storm OBS

    Just measured 4.3 inches here in Westampton, about 1 mile from NWS office. Bedtime.