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Everything posted by Treckasec

  1. Mother's Day weekend Enhanced risk and Heavy rainfall

    Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 102 PM EDT Sat May 12 2018 DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>025-027-PAZ070-071-101- 102-122100- New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Cecil-Kent MD- Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Salem-Gloucester-Camden- Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May- Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic- Southeastern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester- Eastern Chester- Including the cities of Wilmington, Dover, Georgetown, Rehoboth Beach, Elkton, Chestertown, Centreville, Easton, Denton, Pennsville, Glassboro, Camden, Cherry Hill, Moorestown, Mount Holly, Jackson, Millville, Hammonton, Cape May Court House, Ocean City, Atlantic City, Wharton State Forest, Media, Philadelphia, Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester, and Kennett Square 102 PM EDT Sat May 12 2018 ...NUMEROUS SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... Thunderstorms are expected to develop to our west this afternoon. A favorable setup for severe storms will evolve late this afternoon and evening in southeastern Pennsylvania, eastern Maryland, southern New Jersey, and Delaware as these storms move eastward across the area during the 5 PM to 10 PM timeframe. These storms will have the potential to produce damaging winds, large hail, and heavy rainfall which could lead to isolated flash flooding and more widespread urban and poor drainage flooding. An isolated tornado is also possible, especially for locations near the Mason-Dixon Line that lie on the southern edge of the clearing skies this afternoon. Overall, the greatest risk with these storms will be damaging winds. $$ JRK
  2. Mother's Day weekend Enhanced risk and Heavy rainfall

    Finally getting more sun and blue skies now... I'm not sure how much instability my area'll manage, even with the skies clearing out some.
  3. Nice band of IP and large, wet snowflakes here. Accumulating (sloppily) onto all surfaces.
  4. Amazing radar presentation from that 50-60 dbz band... True death band with 3"+ snowfall rates
  5. Not good ... lots of snapping, along with sounds of a transformer a few minutes ago.
  6. What's coming in looks pretty impressive... don't think I've seen reflectivites for snow without bright-banding that high!
  7. Had some lightning + hefty rumbles here in Tabernacle. It's been sleeting with heavier bursts of snow and rain during lulls for the past two hours or so.
  8. 12/30 Fluff obs

  9. 10/29-10/30 OBS : Major Coastal, good bye fall foliage

    HIgher velocities on radar corresponding with gustier winds right now.
  10. 10/29 major coastal low

    The HRRR seems to gradually be shifting west overtime, shifting the LLJ further inland. This would be pretty exciting for my area! Just gotta see how well that'd mix down. Pretty much moist adiabatic for sounding, would likely be some gusty winds, but not damaging. Still like that it's moving more inland on the model, though model runs /=/ reality. Monday morning should provide some good windage.
  11. 10/29 major coastal low

    GFS vs. EURO on Sandy’s 5th anniversary ... Will the EURO win again?
  12. Generic Thunderstorms, 2017 Version

    I don’t think that we’ll have enough instability/lift for that tomorrow ... We shall see though! The NAM doesn’t seem to give us anything, and even though it’s not like it’s the most trustworthy model ever, I tend to think it has some idea.
  13. 10/24 Slight Risk Obs

    I'm not sure how accurate this is/what stations the gusts were recorded at, but I guess it gives a general idea of the wind! There are some questionable recordings though.
  14. Temperature/Obs/Boring Weather Discussion

    Nothing’s showing up on radar, but it’s drizzling and a bit misty here in Tabernacle, NJ.
  15. wow, very windy with the line of storms overhead. maybe not severe, but was definitely pretty strong! the velocities showed where the strongest winds were well.
  16. approaching about an hour of solid storms! it's been pretty consistent with fairly gusty winds (probably around 30, maybe more...?) even during lulls
  17. Great American Eclipse

    I feel the clouds helped a bit here! not so bright, you could actually look with the naked eye at times! makes for cool shots as well
  18. 8/18 Thunderstorms, Heavy Rain Obs

    hmm ... we'll have to see if we can get stronger gusts to mix down. Not much DCAPE... regardless, line looks solid! lots of lightning too.
  19. 8/18 Thunderstorms, Heavy Rain Obs

    Have to think there'll be at least a tornado warning today... EHI values are pretty high. 1km EHI around 1-2 some 3, and 3km EHI 3-4
  20. Temperature/Obs/Boring Weather Discussion

    Very interesting clouds here ... think there were a few roll clouds, turbulent skies .
  21. Temperature/Obs/Boring Weather Discussion

    Had a pretty good storm here with very heavy rain that moved in sheets. No damaging winds here. Not so surprisingly , it seems like the storms got rejuvenated just after passing here so we didn't really get the brunt of the storms.
  22. Temperature/Obs/Boring Weather Discussion

    Outflow boundary coming off of storms to my west just brought some gusty winds (estimate 30 mph) incoming storms look pretty strong , hoping the outflow boundary won't choke them.
  23. Oof, the model lurch has really cut the totals off in my area. Thank goodness this isn't winter, or else there'd be serious casualties in SNJ, assuming the track would bring enough cold air for snow in the first place oh well! We've probably gotten enough rain, and I definitely don't want to see any flooding here. You can take our rain, but you can't take our snow... sometimes...... we usually do take your QPF though so it's only fair that we sit one event out (or the whole winter)