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Treckasec

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    Tabernacle, NJ

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  1. Treckasec

    Mother's Day weekend Enhanced risk and Heavy rainfall

    Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 102 PM EDT Sat May 12 2018 DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>025-027-PAZ070-071-101- 102-122100- New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Cecil-Kent MD- Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Salem-Gloucester-Camden- Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May- Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic- Southeastern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester- Eastern Chester- Including the cities of Wilmington, Dover, Georgetown, Rehoboth Beach, Elkton, Chestertown, Centreville, Easton, Denton, Pennsville, Glassboro, Camden, Cherry Hill, Moorestown, Mount Holly, Jackson, Millville, Hammonton, Cape May Court House, Ocean City, Atlantic City, Wharton State Forest, Media, Philadelphia, Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester, and Kennett Square 102 PM EDT Sat May 12 2018 ...NUMEROUS SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... Thunderstorms are expected to develop to our west this afternoon. A favorable setup for severe storms will evolve late this afternoon and evening in southeastern Pennsylvania, eastern Maryland, southern New Jersey, and Delaware as these storms move eastward across the area during the 5 PM to 10 PM timeframe. These storms will have the potential to produce damaging winds, large hail, and heavy rainfall which could lead to isolated flash flooding and more widespread urban and poor drainage flooding. An isolated tornado is also possible, especially for locations near the Mason-Dixon Line that lie on the southern edge of the clearing skies this afternoon. Overall, the greatest risk with these storms will be damaging winds. $$ JRK
  2. Treckasec

    Mother's Day weekend Enhanced risk and Heavy rainfall

    Finally getting more sun and blue skies now... I'm not sure how much instability my area'll manage, even with the skies clearing out some.
  3. Nice band of IP and large, wet snowflakes here. Accumulating (sloppily) onto all surfaces.
  4. Amazing radar presentation from that 50-60 dbz band... True death band with 3"+ snowfall rates
  5. Not good ... lots of snapping, along with sounds of a transformer a few minutes ago.
  6. What's coming in looks pretty impressive... don't think I've seen reflectivites for snow without bright-banding that high!
  7. Had some lightning + hefty rumbles here in Tabernacle. It's been sleeting with heavier bursts of snow and rain during lulls for the past two hours or so.
  8. Treckasec

    12/30 Fluff obs

  9. Treckasec

    10/29-10/30 OBS : Major Coastal, good bye fall foliage

    HIgher velocities on radar corresponding with gustier winds right now.
  10. Treckasec

    10/29 major coastal low

    The HRRR seems to gradually be shifting west overtime, shifting the LLJ further inland. This would be pretty exciting for my area! Just gotta see how well that'd mix down. Pretty much moist adiabatic for sounding, would likely be some gusty winds, but not damaging. Still like that it's moving more inland on the model, though model runs /=/ reality. Monday morning should provide some good windage.
  11. Treckasec

    10/29 major coastal low

    GFS vs. EURO on Sandy’s 5th anniversary ... Will the EURO win again?
  12. Treckasec

    Generic Thunderstorms, 2017 Version

    I don’t think that we’ll have enough instability/lift for that tomorrow ... We shall see though! The NAM doesn’t seem to give us anything, and even though it’s not like it’s the most trustworthy model ever, I tend to think it has some idea.
  13. Treckasec

    10/24 Slight Risk Obs

    I'm not sure how accurate this is/what stations the gusts were recorded at, but I guess it gives a general idea of the wind! There are some questionable recordings though.
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