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AdamPHLWx last won the day on September 30 2015

AdamPHLWx had the most liked content!

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About AdamPHLWx

  • Birthday 05/26/1981

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    Willow Grove, PA

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  1. Yeah, I'll be too high. I'd guess 70 kts at landfall now
  2. Agree that the threat has diminished, but it's definitely not zero. Some of the people I see on twitter are not doing the community any favors.
  3. Can you imagine the board right now if this was 3 days before a snow storm?
  4. lol wasn't it off the Outer Banks at 0z?
  5. I'm seeing it even in relation to the FL landfall. Regardless, I don't think the reason for the spread in the Gulf is because it hasn't formed yet, it's the uncertainty in the position and intensity of the ridge over the Mid-Atlantic. The tropical system is just along for the ride.
  6. For sure. Especially in notoriously tricky RI areas like the Bahamas and Eastern Gulf.
  7. Seeing lots of social media saying "we don't know what's going to happen because it hasn't formed yet." I disagree. Model guidance is very well clustered over the next 72 hours and all are in agreement that it stays weak. I feel very confident in saying that 99L will be near the NW Bahamas Saturday afternoon.
  8. Current max sustained winds are 40 kts based on aircraft recon, but there isn't a closed circulation, so no name. The ATCF decks have the max wind speed at 40 kt though.
  9. If I were on the desk (I'm not), I'd go Cat 2 into MOB/PNS. EPS members are still quite left skewed.
  10. Models are already expecting a weak system, so I'm not sure being weak means farther south than guidance
  11. Forum upgrade questions, comments, concerns

    Admins only for now...
  12. Forum upgrade questions, comments, concerns

    Yeah, the updated skin is awesome. I'm already using it as my default.
  13. Forum upgrade questions, comments, concerns

    Pretty sure that was always the case
  14. Temperature/Obs/Boring Weather Discussion

    Heading to the PGA Friday. Not the best day for golf, by the looks of it.
  15. Week 1: +8, slightly above normal precip Week 2: +1 Week 3: +3 Week 4: +3