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susqushawn

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susqushawn last won the day on December 29 2016

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About susqushawn

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    Valley Forge, PA
  1. If Tom Lamaine isn't playing next year I'm out! Jk...great day and amazing wait staff at the 19th hole. Bring on winter!
  2. Clarification now that the sun's up, not drizzling, just wet from the fog. See you soon.
  3. Drizzly in ChesCo so I assume same in SNJ. HRRR looks promising. Will await the official 7:30 call:
  4. So we braving it tomorrow or game time decision? I'm playing Phoenixville Country Club today for warm up. It's a bit nipply out.
  5. I wouldn't mind that one bit. Hopefully really foggy so no one can see my occasional duck hooks
  6. Major Hurricane Irma

    Agreed. If anyone will be caught off guard it could be coastal GA and SC if Irma stays East of FL and retains major status. Those locales at least from the outside looking in seem to be getting less attention than FL.
  7. Major Hurricane Irma

    I don't envy forecasters with that spread with this lead time around populous coastal locations
  8. Major Hurricane Irma

    From my friend in Fort Lauderdale
  9. Major Hurricane Irma

    Yup....what he said 2 days ago...lol
  10. Major Hurricane Irma

    The tug North appears less to do with the anomalous trough exiting the NE and more with an upper level trough coming down through the MS Valley. I only see this at 200/300 and not 500 or lower. You can see the southerly flow clearly at 200/300 on this map but notice the flow is different at 500. Correct me if I'm wrong, but we generally look at 300 for steering currents in winter storms, is it the same for tropical systems?
  11. 9/5 Slight Risk Of Severe Storms Obs

    Bubbled. Glad some of you got a notable storm. Outflow gusts were cool.
  12. 9/5 Slight Risk Of Severe Storms Obs

    This is pretty much the same radar that has played out repeatedly this severe season.
  13. Medium - long range tropics

    Last couple frames seem likes it's heading WSW. Water vapor shows a weakness of sorts from the low pressure out ahead Irma, almost an escape hatch, at least temporarily. High is still pushing down. Either way, agreement through the Bahamas is fairly solid, the trough evolution is still markedly variable which makes sense given the lead time. Tough to be patient waiting for model agreement as a major hurricane bears down on the mainland while shredding the islands.
  14. Medium - long range tropics

    Quite an anomalous trough. If this verifies will certainly have some influence on Irma. Given it's strength and placement has varied widely it's too early to tell how much. Ridge builds in quickly overhead.
  15. Medium - long range tropics

    Good question. NHC was purposeful with their track being south of models, it was in their discussion writeup. Best comparison is to model tracks yo actual, I'm just too lazy to look it up
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