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greg ralls

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About greg ralls

  • Rank
    Skywarn #MTPA-007
  • Birthday 11/01/1968

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  • Gender
  • Location:
    Collegeville, Pennsylvania
  • Interests
    Music, hockey, cross-county skiing

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  1. Hopefully not a few weeks earlier though, since big November snows seem to be the kiss of death for great snow seasons.
  2. I'm feeling better and worse about my 33, 1 prediction. Better, because I'm very competitive, but worse because I don't want a bunch of 90° days.
  3. Pounded in Collegeville. Simultaneous lightning and house-shaking thunder at around 7:40 AM.
  4. I'm tired of cutting the grass and driving in crazy hard rain, so I'm not going to complain. Looks like Philadelphia is barely even in the Marginal Risk now and the Slight Risk was pushed even further south.
  5. I know a few people on the forum don't enjoy convective season, but things like this are one of the reasons I like it so much. I love waiting to see what happens knowing that there is good potential, but also a few things that could go wrong.
  6. Looks like the SPC removed the specific mention of tornadoes tomorrow with the latest update: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1219 PM CDT Mon Aug 12 2019 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS EASTWARD TO THE MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are expected Tuesday afternoon and early evening over the Middle Atlantic into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Other strong to severe storms are possible over the Upper Mississippi Valley and the central High Plains. ...Mid-Atlantic/Ohio and Tennessee Valleys... A subtle cyclonic mid-level flow pattern will be in place on Tuesday from the north-central states eastward into the Northeast. At the surface, a cold front will advance southward into the Mid-Atlantic extending west-southwestward into the mid Mississippi Valley. A surface low along the front will move eastward across the central Appalachians. Surface dewpoints ahead of the front should be in the lower 70s contributing to a corridor of moderate instability by afternoon. Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to develop along the front during the afternoon from southern Ohio eastward across the Virginias into Maryland. Cells may tend to organize into lines and MCS development will be possible from late afternoon into the early evening. NAM forecast soundings along the front from West Virginia into northern Virginia and southern Maryland suggest that MLCAPE values could reach 2500 J/kg at peak heating. Winds are veered to the southwest at the surface with about 30 kt of westerly flow in the mid-levels. This combined with steep lapse rates in the lowest 3 km AGL will be favorable for damaging wind gusts associated with line segments. If a cold pool can develop with a larger-scale line segment, then numerous damaging wind gusts will be possible from eastern West Virginia eastward to Delaware and southern New Jersey.
  7. Given the way this season has been going, folks in New Jersey should be stocking their shelters and tornado safe rooms today.
  8. Already looks like a few storms are doing exactly that - looks like even Montgomery County will get it on at least some action.
  9. Looks like the threat stays mainly to our northwest today - huge Severe Thunderstorm Watch box.
  10. A few rumbles to the west of Plymouth Meeting as a cell passed nearby. Looks like weaker cells are now approaching from the south.
  11. Latest SPC update looks pretty similar to the previous one. Hope it's game on in a few hours!
  12. Sounds like kind of fun afternoon on tap, maybe!
  13. Could hear constant thunder in Plymouth Meeting as the severe storm slid by just to the south & east.
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