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Everything posted by JSchwake28

  1. JSchwake28

    2/20-2/21 Obs , The Deja Vu Event

    Can really see that dry punch working in here. I'd guess that within that, even though in some places all layers are still below freezing, little to no snow will be able to be produced.
  2. JSchwake28

    2/20-2/21 Obs , The Deja Vu Event

    Looking at HRRR soundings, it actually looks like we lose saturation in the snow growth region before (2 hours or so) any layer actually reaches the freezing mark, so right about now. I'm a little rusty but I believe you need saturation at a very minimum of -4C to produce snow. Without that you're just left with some freezing drizzle/snizzle. We may already be moving into that stage now.
  3. JSchwake28

    2/20-2/21 Obs , The Deja Vu Event

    3" even here in Drexel Hill as what looks to be the last of the accumulating snow winds down. Could squeak out another .25 or so before the changeover?
  4. I interned with Glenn several years ago and I will say he is very knowledgeable and definitely doesn’t hug any one specific model (though he does respect the ECMWF as he should). He knows our area’s microclimate/nuances very well and isn’t afraid to go out on a limb against the models based upon what he believes is most likely to actually occur. He’s one of the best I’ve seen to use guidance as exactly that, rather than just blend models or choose one. As for what model he showed on the broadcast is anyone’s guess. I didn’t see the broadcast but sounds like he’s leaning pretty cold. My two cents - when there’s a high up north that’s not retreating (even though it isn’t in the absolutely ideal location) the models do seem to underdo the CAD’s staying power. It wouldn’t surprise me if some of the colder solutions, at least at the surface, win out.
  5. Back to mod snow with a little sleet mixing in. Judging by CC looks like a big ol' mixed bag for the next couple of hours before warming above freezing this evening.
  6. Changeover beginning in D-hill, some sleet and parachutes now falling. Just measured 3.25". Imagine it will only compact from here on out. Quite the surprise - hopefully a sign of things to come this season!
  7. JSchwake28

    That 30s club

    39.2 this morning - I'm in.
  8. JSchwake28

    Temperature/Obs/Boring Weather Discussion

    Pretty interesting writeup - not all that different than some areas during last week's deluge. http://www.delawarecountyhistory.com/documents/Reportofthe1843Flood.pdf
  9. JSchwake28

    Winter Banter Thread

    Wunderground has been having a ton of issues lately. My station has been showing up as either offline or with some crazy temps sporadically for the past couple of weeks, and almost continuously since the weekend. I did some googling around and it turns out this is a pretty widespread problem on their side. Hoping it's resolved soon
  10. Yea, I feel like temps are always slow to crash in these situations. I'd be surprised if there's anything more than a coating to maybe an inch in spots south of the rdg-abe line. Not very optimistic about any flakes 95 S&E. Hope I'm wrong though, would love to see some white on christmas morning!
  11. I seem to remember seeing that it's 0.1" falling that day or 1+" existing snowcover. Not 100% on this though.
  12. JSchwake28

    Weather Station

    Hey Josh, welcome back! Here's a thread from awhile back discussing this.. http://www.phillywx.com/index.php?/topic/864-weather-station/#comment-55602
  13. JSchwake28

    Lawn/Garden/Golf Thread

    Nope, it was all another weed (it's name has slipped my mind right now) when I moved in so I killed everything and started from scratch. I know it's definitely from the straw I laid down because I spread the leftover straw into a garden bed 100' away and the exact same weed has completely taken over that bed. Thanks Home Depot!
  14. JSchwake28

    Lawn/Garden/Golf Thread

    Ripped a clump up and yea it definitely looks like quackgrass. Looks like another reseed upcoming. Son of a!
  15. JSchwake28

    Lawn/Garden/Golf Thread

  16. JSchwake28

    Lawn/Garden/Golf Thread

  17. JSchwake28

    Lawn/Garden/Golf Thread

    Tom I got one for you.. I completely redid my front lawn in the fall and put straw down to cover it (apparently not the recommended practice). I noticed right away that there was some sort of wide blade grass/weed coming up along with the new grass. It was definitely something that was falling out of the bail of straw. I figured it would die over the winter and the new lawn this spring would help choke it out. Nope lol. The new grass came back in great, however there is other stuff (maybe wheat?) coming in all over and it's growing 5x faster than the grass, to the point that it's ready for a cut every few days. I've tried to do some research on this but haven't found anything concrete. Any suggestions?
  18. JSchwake28

    Lawn/Garden/Golf Thread

    Yep, I bought this last year on Tom's recommendation and it worked great. Like he said it's only 0.5oz/gal - I've used it a handful of times and let others try it out and barely put a dent in jug.. should last long enough that it's worth the cash.
  19. 28 with what I would call moderate snow in Drexel hill. Those dews really helped drop the temp
  20. Few flurries/pellets already in Drexel hill. Caught me by surprise
  21. JSchwake28

    01/05 - 01/06/2017 Making things a little white : OBS

    Already some flurries here in dhill. Hadn't even checked radar yet, was a bit surprised
  22. JSchwake28

    12/17-12/18 OBS : A MIXED Bag Weekend

    Just got a nice surprise lightning and thunder, enough to wake me up. 36 degrees out - not bad
  23. JSchwake28

    Lawn/garden/golf thread

    It's been about 8 days since I used the Confront. I'm noticing that each day things seem to be dying more and more- first it was dandelion and thistle, then the henbit?, and now the creeping Charlie and clover. I was pretty pessimistic early on that not much looked to be affected but now I'm starting to see an obvious difference between the green grass and all these weeds. Seemed kinda long but it does seem to be working - is t normal to be such a gradual process? have your experiences been similar?
  24. JSchwake28

    Lawn/garden/golf thread

    Yep it was Confront. I mixed the half ounce in a gallon sprayer. Sounds like I did everything correctly, will just have to have a closer look tomorrow. Thanks man!
  25. JSchwake28

    Lawn/garden/golf thread

    Yea I sucked it up and bought a gallon a couple weeks back. How do you apply it? Unless I'm reading it wrong, I just mixed a half ounce with a gallon of water and sprayed the whole lawn a couple days ago (moving into a new house and the existing lawn was littered with dandelions, ground ivy, you name it). Drove by today and at least from the car I didn't seeing anything dying/browning.