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About snowlurker

  • Birthday June 12

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  • Location:
    Middletown, DE (New Castle County)
  • Interests
    weather, cooking, brewing, baseball

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  1. I'm going to ask my son to empty out a box of Hungry Jack potato flakes from my roof in order to stop the tears from running down my face.
  2. I think we've figured out who to blame for the time spent tracking this one...
  3. snowlurker

    Weather in Paris between Christmas and NYE?

    Thanks Tony!
  4. My family is going to Paris between Christmas and NYE and I'd like to prepare for whatever mother nature throws at us since we'll be frequently outside. While Paris is not known for snow that lingers or for frigid temperatures (average high/low is 46/38), I don't want to bring lighter coats if it's going to experience an arctic outbreak. I also don't want to bring bulky cold weather coats if it's going to be in the 50s. I'm trying to avoid buying and packing six pairs of boots, but on the other hand I don't want everyone walking through slush in casual shoes. Can anyone recommend a site(s) that will help me predict the weather there up to two weeks out? I've heard that Accuweather is GFS verbatim, so I don't want to rely upon that.
  5. Don't you mean down south this event goes?
  6. This is my understanding of the situation. I'd appreciate any feedback by people smarter than me. The variability of identifying the size, strength, orientation, and velocity of the northern stream short waves over the Pacific by satellite imagery has certainly seemed to have decreased. In other words, the medium-range models (with the exception of perhaps the CMC) have zeroed in on what they believe to be solid information for those shortwaves. Of course, there is an assumption that such information gleaned by satellite imagery equals reality. That's still a fairly big assumption. It's my assumption that information derived from airplanes and weather balloons leads to an approximation of the size, strength, orientation, and velocity of the short waves that is significantly closer to reality. Notwithstanding the above, I suppose that we could still see a substantial (or insubstantial?) change in the speed, intensity or location of one of the northern stream that is the result of how poorly (or how well?) the medium range weather models emulate reality based upon their assumptions from satellite imagery and the "correction" comes from better information derived from airplanes and weather balloons. Because I'm so snow-obsessed, I'm strongly hoping for a northern stream shortwave that magically jumps northward so that our storm is not crushed to Cape Horn. So the above explanation is the thread that I'm clinging to...
  7. I understand your madness (it's a shared affliction), but please be careful!
  8. Four out of the first six are coastals.
  9. Ever since Tom and others started posting the EPS members, I've counted how many members give me measurable. It's currently at 30%. While not a high water mark, it's better than most days of tracking this storm. Nevertheless, I'm still readying my towel. BTW, doesn't it seem as if we've been tracking this since 2017?
  10. Where in the heck is Mitch? Excellent commentary then gone...
  11. Getting ready in case fv3, euro and ukmet are also garbage...
  12. Based upon surface and 850 T's, it looks mixy.