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Rainshadow5.8

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Everything posted by Rainshadow5.8

  1. This is the first time I have seen the OP GGEM on board right smack in the middle of the climo hot spot (three consecutive 100s). Yeah still beyond day 6 and while it has been hot, it has not been that hot.
  2. GFS 6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23. 6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 annnnnd 80F (68F at max temp) dew point. 6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F). 6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1. 6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point. 6/28/12z.............103F on 7/11 (at least only a 68F dew point) 6/29/12z..............100F on 7/12 6/30/00z..............100F on 7/11 7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 & 7/12 7/2/12z.................102F on 7/17, Yummo 80F dew point. 7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 & 101F on 7/14 7/3/18z................104F on 7/15, 101F on 7/16 & 7/17 7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 & 102F on 7/16 7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 & 100F on 7/19 7/5/06z................100F on 7/16 7/6/12z.................100F on 7/21 7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 & 101F on 7/23 7/8/12z................100F on 7/17 & 101F on 7/18 7/8/18z................100F on 7/23 7/9/00z................100F on 7/21 7/9/06z.................100F on 7/19, 101F on 7/20 and 100F on 7/21 7/10/06z...............101F on 7/25 7/11/12z...............100F on 7/25 Euro 6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) ) 6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1 6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) ) 6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) ) 6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) ) 6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) ) 7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) ) 7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 & 7/13 (GFS, a pair of 90s) 7/8/00z..........103F on 7/17 (GFS, 94F) Honorable GFS Mentions 6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2 6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2 6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30 6/28/18z.............99F on 7/11 6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 & 7/11 6/30/00z.............99F on 7/14 7/1/06z................99F on 7/12 7/1/18z................99F on 7/12 7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 & 7/15 7/3/12z................99F on 7/13. 7/3/18z................99F on 7/14 7/4/12z................99F on 7/15 7/6/12z.................99F on 7/20 7/6/18z.................99F on 7/17 7/9/00z.................99F on 7/17, 7/20 & 7/23 7/9/06z.................99F on 7/17, 7/18 & 7/21 (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher) 7/9/12z.................99F on 7/22 7/10/06z...............99F on 7/24 7/11/12z...............99F on 7/24 7/12/18z...............99F on 7/21
  3. We could still do a day somewhere. Need the models to stop forecasting 90+ every day, makes it hard to pick one.
  4. There is above normal and there is way above normal. The models have been living in way above normal beyond day 5. Maybe this will eventually stop, but another example of a ridge bridge, heat ridge building into the northeast either disappearing or slowly sinking southwest.
  5. Another good week for NJ especially in light of what is going on elsewhere beyond the northeast.
  6. Is it like everyone at that number ( e.g -1 ) has to be in 70th place or better? This is the cut and Brent is in 68th place although the -1(s) go to about 77th place.
  7. I thought that 97 was high for that day. It has been running about 1F too high on that Gladstone site. Of course no station is in PNE's league. Now all this rain should put a dent in the temps rising quickly at least for a little while.
  8. So that it what it takes to get a below normal day these days in July.
  9. Last night's control run finally was not out GFSing the GFS. And below normal 500mb heights don't equal 90s any more.
  10. More tomorrow, the humid air has not been flushed away yet.
  11. Now this one (same day, today) makes sense:
  12. 2.39” in Mount Laurel thru 150 pm.
  13. Ok, first I am dense. I always thought "the cut" at PGA Tour events was top 70 and ties. This is a 156 person field, so it's not a Masters/other major rule (within 10 shots of the lead?). So following golf for 25 years, I still don't get this cut line:
  14. It is all relative. But in terms of seeing an occasional crack in week 2 neither the GFS with its lets keep on pumping out the >99s nor the EC control which may actually be worst than the GFS (next year's thread?) and consequently (IMO) pollutes the EPS nor the rainbow and unicorns what 90s GEFS is doing anyone a favor. We had 90s forecast with below normal 500mb heights on both Monday and Tuesday. What does one have to do not hit 90, have a cloudy tropical storm whiz by? In this brave new world where around 90 is not bad, I could see a couple of ugly days at the end of next week, but would believe a near 90 break vs perpetuality even if there are more uglier days inevitable in week 2. The trend remains to oversell and overnorth the heat extent, we may not be south enough, but it is still overdone nonetheless.
  15. Astronomical tides going into today relatively low, also lower of the two high tide cycles coming up this morning. That being said, tides are already above normal. For the 45,687th time and this is known by and complained up the chain incessantly by all field offices to no avail, I can't get much out of Mt. Holly's links already this morning.
  16. It is not a good day for your sensor when you are 3 degrees warmer than PNE.
  17. I put in my CoCoRaHs 0.00" in at 630 so I can get this all within one 24hr period.
  18. Well I cut the grass and wrung out my shirt this evening. Speaking of wringing.... This was a great job of collaboration no matter how close, I can't find forecast office borders.
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