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Rainshadow

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Rainshadow last won the day on September 20

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  • Location:
    Mount Laurel, NJ
  • Interests
    Golf and gardening and temperatures between 32F & 70F.

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  1. Unbelievable what is happening in southeast Texas again.
  2. Lol. Plus the GFS saves it's 90s forecasts for October. Well Monday probably will be an upper 80s day. Euro day 9 predicted max temp 94F.
  3. 45F. Coolest morning since May 15th in Mount Laurel.
  4. I don't know what has got into it this month. It has become drier of late, but it is still September. That 95 prediction for 9/27, were it to come to fruition (ha) would tie a 1941 October heat wave day for the second hottest daily record high so late in the season.
  5. Euro: "Our Day 9 fiasco model run forecasts, not just for fantasy snow storms any longer!" That run was just a little bit inside.
  6. Tuesday & Wednesday of next week is definitely going toward the GFS thermally. But the OP EC has a predicted high of 95 on the other side of this for next Friday, so Tom has that going for him. It is a day 8, not a day 9 special by the EC. It one time had a day 9 predicted high of 95 for Wednesday the 25th, it is now 77.
  7. Updated as of 9/19: Coming Maybe???? 19th Hole Only Tom Charlie Al Jim Caruso MShaffer John Carl Shawn Tony Andy Chris B Paul Jim Eberwine Dean (NWS) Lee (NWS)
  8. No change in the theatre of the absurd. The EPS still has endless days of above normal max temps. It is slowly backing away from reaching 90F this Sunday and Monday. The upcoming Tuesday & Wednesday May end up being near normal, we are compromising with the GFS there. But, the current OP EC has a pair of 90s at the end of next week and not to be outdone, the GFS has given up on the snow idea in la la la la land and now has an October heat wave.
  9. Not that it matters (it really doesn't at all), I don't like 2002 regardless of QBO because it is such a poor enso fit. Conversely the map Tom just posted the current enso has a stronger nina thermal gradient given the rest of the Pacific is currently bath water which would leave 1995 in the mix (the strongest nina in the bunch).
  10. I heard 2013-14 thrown around as an analog over lunch yesterday and personally agree with you, this looks like a better fit. You are comparing an apple to an apple ssta (both Septembers), while the 2013-14 analog is comparing the current September to November 2013. The warm pool in September 2013 was west of the date line and moved into the great position ( or appeared to do so).
  11. Last night's EPS ends with 13 consecutive days of above normal max temps for PHL, a dozen in the 80s & a pair of 89s for Sunday and Monday.
  12. You are still going to be literally and figuratively sweating it out. EPS has a run of 13 consecutive days of above normal temps starting Friday, 12 in the 80s and a pair of 89s for Sunday & Monday. Lol GFS has a pair of la la la la la lands 89s predicted in early October.
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