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Rainshadow

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Rainshadow last won the day on July 19

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    Male
  • Location:
    Mount Laurel, NJ
  • Interests
    Golf and gardening and temperatures between 32F & 70F.

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  1. Lawn/Garden/Golf Thread

    On Wednesday Hank Haney told Mike Francessa (aka as The Pope) Tiger was going to win this one because the course is a baked potato and his wayward drives wont penalize him as much. He also said Jordan Spieth would not win it because his putting has gone south. Well halfway thru this final round he sounds like a genius, we will see what happens to hear.
  2. Delaware is pretty tough to flood during the growing season, we would need that rain amount to fall in a shorter period of time.
  3. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    In fairness to the GFS, I don't believe the Euro has a rain free 6 hour period in PHL until Thursday night also. Looks like the WAR flexes somewhat and the axis of heaviest rain goes west before it comes east again over the Delaware Valley on Thursday.
  4. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    Then you will love the GFS, 81 consecutive hours of lightish rain this week.
  5. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    1.29" in Mount Laurel, heaviest CoCoRaHS pcpn report since June 11th.
  6. Meteorological Summer Banter Thread

    This is apparently for real. The umpire called a ball on this pitch & the first base umpire agreed.
  7. Irony with the eventual outcome of that low tracking that far to the west, the heaviest snow would have ended west of the PHI CWA and there would have been a change to rain or non snow within PHI's CWA.
  8. GFS & GGEM never took the bait and went east.
  9. This was the Wednesday day run, looks like UKMET wins the timing.
  10. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    It initially in its la la land time did start out too east. The OP GGEM & GFS never bypassed our area. Meanwhile if the GFS is velcro, teflon Euro's faux pas on this track will go down the catch basin with all of the rain.
  11. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    Tombo's DC Area/ Streling Bashing:
  12. 7/17 GEFS: GEFS (and EPS) continues the wet turn with a re-enforcing shot coming across the top of the heat ridge: First we have below normal heights for this Wednesday & Thursday. Then the negative tilt (wet) anomalously strong trof approaches this weekend (7/21-7/22). The Bermuda Ridge stops it as it weakens early next week. Then the next Great Lakes trof intensifies during the second half of the week. Granted this feature is currently in the Pacific. While the week of 7/29 sees the overall features dampen in a GEFS resolution, the heat ridges remain in place over the Rockies and western Atlantic. This looks wet (and humid). 7/21 GEFS: WAR does a muscle flex after this soggy weekend, especially in New England, near normal heights return on the 26th with the approach of the next trof over the western ridge. The pattern then settles with a Great Lakes/Ohio Valley Trof through the end of the month. Our heights are near normal, but there is actually below normal heights outlooked farther west in those areas. First week of August status quo with heat ridge southern Rockies and any semblance of troffiness with near normal heights (over us) not far to our west. Of course the OP GFS will spew out 90s like there is no tomorrow. This pattern looks predominately humid, but with pcpn chances out there (yes the OP GFS will have it raining each and every day too) every day and what looks like wetter soil conditions, a plethora of 90s if this outlook is close, is as likely as me hitting 350 yard drives.
  13. Verification in parentheses 18z on 6/1................ 100F (86F) on 6/14; 104F (80F) on 6/15 & 103F (84F) on 6/16. 86F (57F) Dew Point On 6/15. 12z on 6/16............... 100F (74F) on 6/27 , 99F (81F) on 6/26 & 100F (88F) on 6/28. 14 of 16 days 90 or higher, last 12 days 90 or higher. (Actual 5 days). 18z on 6/20................101F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F (98F) on 7/3; last 6 days (7/1-7/6) 95F or higher (Actual 4 days). 18z on 6/21................101F on 7/6 & 99F on 7/5; last 9 days (Actual 7 days) 90F or higher with 6 consecutive days of 80+ dew points (Actual none). 00z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1 (with 80+ dew point, highest 75F) and 99F (97F) on 7/2 06z on 6/24................102F (95F) on 7/1, 103F (97F) on 7/2 (dew point of 88F, highest 75F) & 103F (98F) 7/3. 12z on 6/24................99F (95F) on 6/30 & 101F (95F) on 7/1 18z on 6/24................101F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2 00z on 6/25................102F (95F) on 7/1, 105F (97F) on 7/2, 102F (98F) on 7/3 & 102F (94F) 7/4. DCA 108F (95F) on 7/2 06z on 6/25...............100F (95F) on 7/1 & 7/2 (97F) 12z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1 18z on 6/25................100F (95F) on 7/1 00z on 6/28................103F (95F) on 7/1 & 99F (97F) on 7/2 06z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 105F (97F) on 7/2 12z on 6/28................102F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) 7/2 18z on 6/28................100F (95F) on 7/1, 101F (97F) on 7/2, 100F (95F) on 7/5, 99F (84F) on 7/6, 99F (79F) on 7/7, 100F (88F) on 7/13 12z on 6/29................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2 18z on 6/29................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2, 100F (88F) on 7/12, 99F (88F) on 7/13 & 100F (90F) on 7/14. 00z on 6/30................100F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) 7/2 & 99F (83F) on 7/15 06z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 102F (97F) on 7/2 12z on 6/30................99F (95F) on 7/1, 100F (97F) on 7/2 & 101F (98F) on 7/3 18z on 6/30...............100F (97F) on 7/2 00z on 7/1..................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2 06z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 101F (97F) on 7/2 12z on 7/1.................99F (95F) on 7/1 & 100F (97F) on 7/2 18z on 7/1.................100F (97F) on 7/2 & 99F (95F) on 7/16 00z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F (88F) on 7/13, 100F (90F) on 7/14 & 99F (83F) on 7/15 06z on 7/2.................99F (97F) on 7/2, 99F (90F) on 7/14, 100F (83F) on 7/15, 102F (95F) on 7/16 12z on 7/2.................100F (97F) on 7/2 00z on 7/3.................100F (98F) on 7/3. 06z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3. Also 102F (88F) on 7/13 (81 Dew Point), & 100F (90F) on 7/14 (83 Dew Point) 12z on 7/3.................101F (98F) on 7/3, 100F (88F) on 7/13 (80 Dew Point) & 102F (83F) on 7/15 00z on 7/4.................100F (95F) on 7/16 (80 Dew Point) 06z on 7/4.................100F (83F) on 7/15 with a 2PM dew point of 84F. 00z on 7/5.................100F (87F) on 7/18 (80 Dew Point), 99F (86F) on 7/19 & 100F (87F) on 7/20 (80 Dew Point). 00z on 7/7.................99F (94F) on 7/17 and 100F (86F) on 7/19. Honorable mentions: 00z/June 12th six consecutive days of 90 plus with 97F (82F) on 6/25, 99F (81F) on 6/26 and 98F (74F) on 6/27. 12z/ June 15th 99F (81F) on 6/26. 00z/June 16th nine consecutive 90 plus days and ends with 99F (95F) on 7/1. 06z/June 21st 99F (84F) on 7/6. Run ends with 8 (7) consecutive days of 90 plus and also has 5 (0) consecutive days of dew points of 79F or higher. 12z/June 21st 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/1 (95F) . 00z/June 23rd 99F on 6/30 (95F) & 7/2 (97F) 00z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1. 12z/June 26th 99F (95F) on 7/1. 00z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) , 7/2 (97F) & 7/5 (94F) . 06z/June 29th 99F on 7/1 (95F) & 7/2 (97F) . 12z/July 5th 99F (87F) on 7/20. 18z/July 5th 99F (83F) on 7/15. 06z/July 6th 99F (95F) on 7/16 18z/July 6th 99F on 7/22 with calm winds (at 18z) all the way up thru 850mb. 12z/July 9th 99F on 7/22 # Of Times GFS has forecast a high of 100F or greater this summer: 62 # Of Times ECMWF has forecast a high of 100F or greater this summer: 0 Actual number of 100 degree days so far: 0
  14. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    Not a good stretch for planning outdoor activities that require a rain free period. We have an outing on Monday morning. That doesn't look great either.
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