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JimCaruso

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JimCaruso last won the day on August 19 2018

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  1. Yep, on to thunderstorms, and before we know it, summer/fall hurricane tracking!
  2. JimCaruso

    Smarch 3rd-4th Obs

    Some are saying on to spring, but March is the toughest month to get through: Little to no chance of snow, but still uncomfortably cold most days. March definitely feels more like winter (minus the snow) than spring. The cold seems that much worse once spring fever kicks in on the first warm day. And still too early for thunderstorms, which I love (two and a half months until my annual Plains chase trip!)
  3. JimCaruso

    Smarch 3rd-4th Obs

    Wow that map shows quite the void. Unfortunately, if I did become an observer, I’m pretty close to the other two, there would still be a huge void in middle and Upper Bucks!
  4. JimCaruso

    Smarch 3rd-4th Obs

    Thanks Tony. Why for that one station (the one you highlighted for me) is the total snow less than the new snow? I might assume it’s because of compaction, although that’s the only station that’s like that. If there’s a shortage of CoCoRas observers, maybe I should sign up! 🤔
  5. JimCaruso

    Smarch 3rd-4th Obs

    Hi Tony, can you send a similar table including some locations in Lower Bucks? The Public Information Statement issued at 7:01AM lists obs for Morrisville, Richboro, Newtown, Lower Makefield, Langhorne and Feasterville/Trevose, but they are all from last night and I don't believe reflect final totals (latest was Morrisville at 10:15, 3.5", which seems reasonable relative to my estimate of 4" especially since it was still snowing at that time; but most of the other Lower Bucks obs are earlier and just 2"-3")
  6. JimCaruso

    Smarch 3rd-4th Obs

  7. JimCaruso

    Smarch 3rd-4th Obs

    My unscientific estimate here in Newtown is 4". Maybe less on the pavement though, where it took a little longer to start accumulating. The Council Rock school district had already instituted a 2-hour delay last night at around 7:15pm, but now they just closed schools for the whole day because of "difficult back road and neighborhood conditions and power outages in areas of the district." I am working from home today, and now I need to wrestle with whether to take my kids sledding. I will feel guilty if I don't, yet that means time away from work and missing my lunchtime workout. Was kind of hoping I wouldn't have to even make this decision and could just keep to my normal routine. 😒
  8. JimCaruso

    Smarch 3rd-4th Obs

    Looks like the rain/snow line is having an easier time penetrating northward and northwestward up through the 95 corridor than it is through southeastern NJ
  9. JimCaruso

    Smarch 3rd-4th Obs

    Can’t get closer to the line than this! I was just outside on my porch, it almost sounded like it was raining but I think I was hearing the flakes cascading through my boxwoods. Think I definitely hear some rain or sleet now though...
  10. JimCaruso

    Smarch 3rd-4th Obs

    In Newtown, snowing steadily but not particularly hard. It’s a fine snow, flakes are not that big. If the heaviest snow continues for only another hour or two as I think was originally forecast, I can’t see us ending up with more than 4” or so. I would estimate about 3” has fallen so far, probably less on the concrete.
  11. JimCaruso

    Smarch 3rd-4th Obs

    I would estimate we already hit the low end 2” forecast in Newtown
  12. JimCaruso

    Smarch 3rd-4th Obs

    Newtown: Fine snow falling at a decent clip, think some rain is still mixed in though.
  13. JimCaruso

    Smarch 3rd-4th Obs

    Raining in Newtown (Lower Bucks) for at least the last 15 minutes. Mt. Holly nudged downward the low-end and expected forecast totals for my area by an inch, and lowered the high end by 2. Definitely on the line here, and latest AFD notes uncertainties with timing and northward extent of the warm nose aloft, so we’ll see what happens. Realize it’s better to have this after dark due to the sun angle, but do wish it could be during the day when it’s easier to see it and enjoy it out the window. Also when I shovel in the morning it will be too early for my usual tradition of putting a couple beers in the snow as my reward for finishing. Oh well, beggars can’t be choosy this winter!
  14. JimCaruso

    March 3rd-4th SWFE. Stay low and go

    Mt. Holly AFD, while clear about uncertainties, seemed to limit the chance for all snow and higher totals to Berks County and the Lehigh Valley. Of course, that was written before the 12Z model runs. From the latest posts above, is it correct to assume that an all snow (or at least a longer period of snow and bigger totals) is still on the table for the I-95 corridor including Lower Bucks?
  15. That helps, thanks. Definitely hearing that jet engine sound a lot today. Last time I remember hearing it quite like this was during Sandy.
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