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tombo82685

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tombo82685 last won the day on July 21

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About tombo82685

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    Spotter ID MTPA-129
  • Birthday 08/26/1985

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    Home: Gilbertsville, PA Work: Wayne, PA

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  1. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    1.36 at work. 1.26 in gilly
  2. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    Models did a good job depicting a solid area of frontogenesis on the western side of the system under the pivot too
  3. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    This is off the 12z nam, but you can see the frontogenesis on west side of the system as it gets caught in the pivot area. Can also see the frontogenesis that lifts through our area associated with the warm front
  4. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    This is a classic miller B system, it's basically a winter time storm in summer. You have your solid frontogensis on the west side of the system and big time gradient cut off. East of the low you get your warm sector tongue of heavy rains that swings through with the warm front lifting north
  5. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    there would be your crazy frontogenesis band sitting right over DC right now if this were winter. Going to be some flooding in that area.
  6. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    ukmet over next 72hrs. Really lashes the area Monday. Alot of the models seem to want to back some sort of convergence band that starts east and pushes west.
  7. Andy might not be able to mow his lawn till next year
  8. Gigi told me he is taking the over on this
  9. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    It’s had a decent summer honestly
  10. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    DC area looks to take it on the chin. Could def see some sort of frontogeneises type band sitting west of the low track which would be in the Lns-bwi-dc-hgr-ipt zone with over 3” of rain Think most of use see average .75-1.5 totals with iso totals above 2”
  11. I just can't get over these rain totals for the next 15 days on the eps. Granted everywhere won't have this and some spots may have more due to convection. This is just impressive to se a 9-10" mean in the poconos and over 8" for philly.
  12. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    thats some crazy PWAT values for later tonight over the area.
  13. Yea I don't see much change from the h5 pattern that starts this week off going out 15 days. Pretty much trough axis in Ohio Valley/Miss. river valley with big WAR just offshore which puts us sandwiched inbetween the two with humid/wet pattern. Of course as we draw closer, any ridge flex and it will turn out drier or if we get deeper into the trough it will get drier.
  14. Feb Drought Busting Weekend Observations 7/21-7/22.

    looks like best chance of lower chance of rain are tuesday/wednesday from city on east as we get flex from the WAR that should push most of the activity west.
  15. outside of tropical systems hitting this area. I don't think I have ever seen the EPS precip mean this high ever non tropical system related.
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