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  1. Past hour
  2. tombo82685

    4/19 slight risk

    1.59 in gilly. .76 at work
  3. Chubbs

    4/19 slight risk

    finished at 2.39" - one deluge after the other this am.
  4. Today
  5. 50-75” region wide next winter 5 below zero nights. Figs dead by early November
  6. The climate/statistical enso models get through the upcoming meteorological winter with their latest outlooks: I have found them nino happy this time of year, but they were right last winter. Consecutive nino winters are rare, but not unfounded. Second consecutive nino winters in the past included: 1888-89* 1896-97* 1919-20 1930-31* 1958-59 1969-70 1977-78 1987-88* 2015-16* * One of those two winters had a strong el nino. Anyway shocker those winter average temps were: Including the strong nino winters: Tom calls this upcoming outlooked nino winter a Modoki in 5, 4, 3, 2, 1.....
  7. mshaffer526

    4/19 slight risk

    Wow! We only got 0.64" up here in Gap.
  8. Qtown Snow

    4/19 slight risk

  9. Qtown Snow

    4/19 slight risk

    1.01" on top of saturated ground.
  10. The closing low cyclogenesis that the Euro is hog wild about can be started with the 00z run this morning (20th/00z) and run thru 12z Tuesday. I have a vested interest in a dry Monday & Tuesday. That being said this reeks of the Euro's slow/westward bias and might corroborate that it is a much better stand alone model at forecasting nothing than a stand alone model forecasting alot of something. I do have crow in our freezer ready to be cooked/eaten in case (or when) I am wrong.
  11. Chubbs

    4/19 slight risk

    Unfortunately rain and humidity are our best performance metrics
  12. colonel_kurtz

    4/19 slight risk

    1.34" thru 8:00am Few clamps of thunder with heavy stuff starting at 6:00am
  13. cbelke

    4/19 slight risk

    Congrats to the S&W for over achieving so far.
  14. Chubbs

    4/19 slight risk

    1.61", light rain.
  15. cbelke

    4/19 slight risk

    .75" and counting... Thankfully the 1.25"/hr rain rate is not sustained.
  16. Worked pretty gosh darn well for a day 4 outlook: (TU Charlie for SPC report map)
  17. Rainshadow

    4/19 slight risk

    This was the SPC Day 4 outlook, not bad at all; I'd go in and demand a renegotiation of my contract:
  18. Rainshadow

    4/19 slight risk

    0.88" thru 7 am.
  19. Chubbs

    4/19 slight risk

    Severe stayed south and west of our area. Possible weak tornado near DC.
  20. cbelke

    4/19 slight risk

    Climbed over a .5" this morning. Heavy downpour happening right now. Watching the rain gauge climb...
  21. mshaffer526

    4/19 slight risk

    Yup... Cut mine extra short after mowing three days prior. Saturday is looking better and better.
  22. tombo82685

    4/19 slight risk

    Always seems to go down when you need it most. Never happens on a sunny day haha.
  23. Rainshadow

    Lawn/Garden/Golf Thread

    You should have seen it three weeks ago.
  24. Chubbs

    4/19 slight risk

    Could get a tornado watch for Delmarva/SJ/Extreme SE Pa. Marginal instability but a strengthening low-level jet. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0413.html
  25. Yesterday
  26. cbelke

    4/19 slight risk

    .20" so far. Mowed the lawn again this afternoon in case I can't do it again for another week.
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