Rainshadow

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About Rainshadow

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Mount Laurel, NJ
  • Interests
    Golf and gardening and temperatures between 32F & 70F.

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  1. Ouch for SE Chester/Nrn New Castle, Srn Delaware & Gloucester, Camden & Atlantic
  2. Maybe better luck today... 0.75" since yesterday, heaviest rain for us in a little over a month.
  3. ...Ohio Valley, Great Lakes into the Middle Atlantic region... Broad and moist warm sector will reside in this region, and areas of diabatic warming will contribute to moderate instability during the day. The combination of forcing for ascent associated with vorticity maxima migrating through amplifying upper trough, residual boundaries, terrain as well as the synoptic front will all provide mechanisms for storms to develop in the weakly capped warm sector. A secondary frontal surge may accompany the primary shortwave trough the upper Great Lakes and upper Midwest region. Winds aloft will increase as upper trough amplifies with unidirectional westerly flow and 30-40 kt effective bulk shear. Mixed modes with both multicells and a few supercells are probable, and some storms evolving into clusters. Isolated damaging wind and hail will be the primary threats through early evening.
  4. NCAR ensemble members dont have the lower (current) southern Illinois convection at all. This on the hrrr looks like the overnight pcpn chance. HRRR and NCAR pointing to "in the evening" Mt. Holly CWA with wave 1.
  5. 0.72" while I was re-stocking lettuce, missed it all. Seems the only time its happening is when I'm not around to see it. Barring anything further, this would be the heaviest CoCoRahS 24hr rain total here since June 20th.
  6. Can't say I am seeing much of this tournament. Jordan's short game has been pretty much the best of the bunch. Just heard on the radio about Grace having the lowest round ever in a major. Johnny Miller must be beside himself.
  7. 00z GFS was 99 for a high today. I think we are starting to see the egg influence the chicken, or the tail wagging the pug. Ground heats and raises the 925/850 temps more so than it should vs the 925/850 temps giving the opportunity of ground temps to rise. I am going to have to just stick to the 850s again or not use a 925 after 15z. Given the hot start I'll go with an easy 95 for a high in PHL today. Hope my hot bias continues fwiw.
  8. 00z GFS was 99. I think we are starting to see the egg influence the chicken, or the tail wagging the pug. Ground heats and raises the 925/850 temps more so than it should vs the 925/850 temps giving the opportunity of ground temps to rise. I am going to have to just stick to the 850s again or not use a 925 after 18z.
  9. Mitch would have to answer that. BLM & WWD are longer standing AWOS(s), but I think Quakertown was added to our AWIPs after Coatesville.
  10. This is the current reflectivity and the predicted ncar ensemble members at this time: This is 6 pm this evening. They are already too slow and north. Member 8 the best for locale?
  11. Jordan leading after two rounds, he's not going anywhere. Wind tightened the field.
  12. The quintessential example of fixing a bump in the rug only to have another one pop up. 98 tomorrow? 925 was 1C too high on the GFS (verifying off the model itself) this afternoon.